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Stat Geek Baseball,
the Best Ever Book 2011
Details
2011 Edition Now Here!
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More Unique Stats
and Salary Projections
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Baseball Evaluation
and Salary Projections
The salary
projections from baseballevaluation.com are the result of over 5,000
hours of research into how baseball statistics and our PEVA
player ratings correlate to payroll, and
the results in the Salary Projection model are meant to mirror how
baseball pays its players. Buy the 2010 Free Agent Tracker
and see
just what we're talking about.
PEVA
Player
Rating BOXSCORE
32.000 - Fantastic
(MVP/Cy Young Award Canddiate)
20.000 - Great (All
League)
15.000 - Very Good (All
Star Caliber)
10.000 - Good (Plus
Starter)
3.500 - Average Player
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Stat Geek Baseball
Free
Agent 2010-11 Contract Analysis
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Analysis
Okay,
here's the consternation with Hall. Just what are you getting
here? He's only 31 years old, so the wane really shouldn't have
taken over his career, but it seems like it might have. At one
time, back in the days of 2005 and 2006 in Milwaukee, Hall had plus
starter written all over him, with years of 17 HR and 62 RBI followed
by 35 HR and 85 RBI, with that last year added up to a very respectable
PEVA rating of 11.905. Pretty good stuff at 27 years of age. But
now it's four years later and what we're seeing is a platoon player,
and one, we're not real sure whether a playoff contending team should
want.
Whoa, there, ... maybe we're jumping to the wrong conclusion and are
just plain wrong about that. Sure, Hall is a low batting average
and low OBP guy at this point in his career and someone you're not
looking at as an everyday starter, but he did hit 18 HR for Boston in
2010 and played every outfield and infield position except first base
(and he can probably do that). Perhaps this is just the type of
hitter/fielder a contending team needs, as long as the price is right.
But what about that price. And just what role would that
contending team be talking about? Let's assume he's a platoon
player again, one who will be getting 300 to 400 ABs.
PEVA RATINGS - FOUR YEARS PRIOR TO FREE AGENCY
| Bill Hall |
Year |
| 4.538 |
2007 |
| 3.733 |
2008 |
| 2.459 |
2009 |
| 3.093 |
2010 |
| 3.031 |
RAVE |
Last year, Hall was paid $8,525,000, but he's looking at a significant
drop from that number in 2010. SPRO Salary Projections state that
he's looking like a $3,000,000 player now, and that's only because
there's still a bit of a look back five years quality and hope that he
can repeat some of those headier days.
Personally, we're still a little conflicted on whether Hall's worth
those numbers and might be more comfortable in the $2.5 million range.
But SPRO is holding out hope. It will be interesting to see
just what type of team, a playoff contender or just one looking for
production from a cheaper alternative, will take that risk, and whether
it will pay off.
SPRO PROJECTIONS - Bill Hall
2011 - $3,021,000
2012 - $3,127,000
Total Contract - 2 years @ 6,148,000
Want to Find Out What All Free Agents, Arbitration Eligible, and Other Players are worth BEFORE they sign.
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Geek Baseballl PRO11
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| Red
Ruffing |
Pete Rose |
Leo
Durocher |
Lefty
Grove |
Ryan Howard |
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Note: 2010
statistics through October 12, 2010. Option data source:
Cott's Baseball Contracts.
Note: PEVA - Player Rating for Season or Career. Age - Age
reflects player age at the end of the calendar year.
Baseball
Evaluation
and all materials on this site are the 2010 Copyright and
intellectual property of JDP ECON and their licensors. All
worldwide
rights reserved. The Baseball Evaluation system was developed
independently of Major League Baseball and the Major League Baseball
Players Association and is not endorsed by or associated in
any
way with either organization.
Note:
All Baseball Evaluation Stats were developed by JDP Econ
& are the proprietary property of JDP ECON. All
rights
reserved.
If Baseball Evaluation stats are used in articles,
etc.,
please
credit baseballevalution.com. |
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