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More Stats Than You Can Shake a Hickory Stick At!
(Includes All Players from
2009 season)

Baseball Evaluation
and Salary Projections

The salary projections from are the result of over 5,000 hours of research into how baseball statistics and our PEVA player ratings correlate to payroll, and the results in the Salary Projection model are meant to mirror how baseball pays its players.  Buy the 2010 Free Agent Tracker and see just what we're talking about.

PEVA Player

 32.000 - Fantastic
(MVP/Cy Young Award Canddiate)
20.000 - Great (All League)
15.000 - Very Good (All Star Caliber)
10.000 - Good (Plus Starter)
3.500 - Average Player

Other Stat Geek Baseball Pages
2009 Team/Player Ratings
Top 40 Pitchers
Top 40 Batters

Options and Free Agent News

John Grabow stays with the Chicago Cubs for a $7.5 million, 2 year contract.

Jason Bay declines 4 yr. - $60 million offer from Boston

NYA declines $1.25m option on Sergio Mitre

Eric Bruntlett declines assignment to minor leagues, becomes Free Agent

Rockies decline $5m option on Rafael Betancourt

MIL declines $6.5m option on Braden Looper

Jack Wilson signs $10m 2 year deal to remain in Seattle

Tim Hudson signs $28m 3 year deal to stay with Braves

Jason Varitek accepts
$3m player option with BOS

Griffey signs 1 yr. deal similar to last; $2m w/incentives

WAS declines $10m on Austin Kearns

BOS picks up $7.7m option on Victor Martinez

Alex Gonzalez option declined by BOS

Jason Varitek club option of $5m declined by BOS

$4m option to Tim Wakefield declined by BOS; signed to $5m deal for 2 years instead

Carl Crawford has $10m
option picked up by TBA

$2.2m option for Will Ohman declined by Dodgers

Pedro Felix $5m option declined by Phillies

Rays decline $2m option on Gregg Zaun and Brian Shouse

Brandon Webb has $8.5m option picked up by Arizona

NYN decline $9.1m option on J.J. Putz

MIL declines option of $3.7m on David Weathers

Manny Ramirez accepts $20m option to stay with Dodgers

CHA declines $12m option on Jermaine Dye

COL delinces $4m option on Yorvit Torrealba and $3m option on Alan Embree

Marcus Thames and Matt Treanor are allowed to become Free Agents by Detroit

Phillies pick up $9m option for Cliff Lee

Bobby Abreu signs 2 yr. $19 million contract w/2012 option

Dodgers decline $10 million option for Jon Garland

Mark Kotsay signs $1.5m contract to stay with CHA

Ross Gload $2.6m option declined by Florida

DeWayne Wise Chooses Free Agency

Brian Moehler, HOU, has $3m Mutual Option pickup up

Matt Thornton, CHA, has $2.25m Option picked up

Freddy Garcia, CHA, has $1m Option w/$2m incentives picked up

Trevor Hoffman signs $8m contract for 2010
w/Mutual Option of $8.5m for 2011 and $0.5m to $1m buyout

Stat Geek Baseball

Free Agent Tracker 2009-10

How Much Will It Take to Sign the Potential Free Agents of 2010?

How Many Years?  How Much Money?
Josh Beckett

Check out the list.  There's a lot of interesting names to consider.  November 20 is the date when your favorite team begins to shop and sign free agents they think they need to win it all in 2010.  Get a leg up with Stat Geek Baseball's Free Agent Salary Projection 2010 Newsletter, which includes Salary Projections and Career Stats for the Potential Free Agents of 2010, now with data through the 2009 season.  All for the sale price of only $4.95.

Will the Boston Red Sox pick up the option for Josh Beckett?  Of course they will.  Just how much will it take to keep or woo away Jason Bay from Boston or Chone Figgins from the Angels?   Would Erik Bedard look good in a Mets uniform and is he worth the money it would take?
Check out the examples and details below of what kind of data the Free Agent Salary Projection 2010 provides.

Free Agent 2010 Examples
Johnny Damon

More Details

SPRO Contract Projection
3 Years @ $30,399,000

2010 - $9,786,000     2011 - $10,129,000
2012 - $10,484,000
Cliff Lee*

More Details

SPRO Contract Projection 7 Years @ $131,132,000

2010 - $16,856,000     2011 - $17,446,000
2012 - $18,057,000     *Team $9m option Picked Up
Check Out Who Signed,
For How Much,
and Contract Analysis on Each

Stat Geek Baseball's
Free Agent Contract Analysis

Free Agent Headline
Billy Wagner signs $7,000,000 deal with $6.5 million option a second year to pitch for the Braves.  Option guaranteed with 50 games finished in 2010.

SPRO Analysis
Braves overpay for Wagner.  It's not just about the money, although that's where we'll start.  Sure, Wagner was hurt last year and will do better in 2010, but let's not expect the Wagner of old.  He's been regressing for years now, with PEVA player ratings that have declined every year since  2005.  At that time, he was at 16.057 PEVA (All-Star level), followed by years of 12.638, 10.484, 9.636, and 0.200 in 2009.  At 38 years of age, that's a pretty noticeable decline. Expect Wagner at about a 5.000 PEVA for 2010, perhaps at most, and his value from SPRO is for a 2 year contract worth $5,383,000, paying $2,645,000 in 2010.  Now for the second reason.  The Braves just gave up their first round draft pick, too, to get him.  Oh, my!
Potential Free Agent 2010 List

First Base/DH Second Base Third Base Shortstop
Delgado    Carlos (FILED)
Floyd    Cliff
Giambi    Jason (FILED)
Johnson    Nick (FILED)
LaRoche    Adam (FILED)
Mientkiewicz  Doug (FILED)
Millar  Kevin (FILED)
Sweeney    Mike (FILED)
Thome    Jim (FILED)
Tracy    Chad (FILED)
Young  Dmitri (FILED)

Anderson    Marlon
Belliard    Ron (FILED)
Cairo  Miguel (FILED)
Carroll    Jamey (FILED)
Hudson    Orlando (FILED)
Iwamura    Akinori
McDonald    John (FILED)
Polanco    Placido (FILED)
Sanchez    Freddy
Uribe  Juan (FILED)

Beltre    Adrian (FILED)
Blalock    Hank (FILED)
Blum    Geoff
Boone  Aaron (FILED)
Crede    Joe (FILED)
DeRosa    Mark (FILED)
Feliz    Pedro (FILED)
Figgins    Chone (FILED)
Garciaparra  Nomar (FILED)
Glaus    Troy (FILED)
Hinske  Eric (FILED)
Kennedy Adam (FILED)
Mora    Melvin (FILED)
Greg Norton (FILED)
Quinlan    Robb (FILED)
Bruntlett  Eric (FILED)
Cabrera    Orlando (FILED)
Cora  Alex (FILED)
Crosby    Bobby (FILED)
Eckstein    David
Everett    Adam (FILED)
Gonzalez    Alex (FILED)
Greene    Khalil (FILED)
Infante    Omar
Lopez    Felipe (FILED)
Martinez  Ramon (FILED)
McDonald  John (FILED)
Scutaro    Marco (FILED)
Tejada    Miguel (FILED)
Omar Vizquel (FILED)
Wilson    Jack
Pitchers Outfield Catcher
Backe    Brandon
Baez    Danys (FILED)
Batista    Miguel (FILED)
Beckett    Josh
Bedard    Erik (FILED)
Benoit    Joaquin (FILED)
Betancourt    Rafael (FILED)
Bradford    Chad (FILED)
Brocail    Doug (FILED)
Calero    Kiko (FILED)
Chen  Bruce (FILED)
Colon    Bartolo
Contreras    Jose (FILED)
Davis    Doug (FILED)
Donnelly Brendon (FILED)
Dotel    Octavio (FILED)
Duckscherer  Justin (FILED)
Eaton    Adam
Embree  Alan (FILED)
Escobar    Kelvim (FILED)
Franklin    Ryan
Garland    Jon (FILED)
Glover    Gary
Gonzalez    Mike (FILED)
Gordon    Tom
Grabow    John (FILED)
Gregg    Kevin (FILED)
Guardado  Eddie (FILED)
Hampton    Mike (FILED)
Harden    Rich (FILED)
Hawkins    LaTroy (FILED)
Hendrickson  Mark (FILED)
Herges    Matt (FILED)
Hernandez  Livan (FILED)
Hoffman    Trevor
Howry  Bobby (FILED)
Hudson    Tim
Isringhausen    Jason (FILED)
Johnson    Randy (FILED)
Kobayashi    Masahide
Lackey    John (FILED)
Lee    Cliff
Looper    Braden (FILED)
Lyon    Brandon (FILED)
Mahay    Ron (FILED)
Majewski    Gary
Marquis    Jason (FILED)
Martinez  Pedro (FILED)
Miller    Trever
Mota  Guillermo (FILED)
Millwood    Kevin
Milton  Eric (FILED)
Myers  Brett (FILED)
Ohka  Tomo (FILED)
Ohman  Will (FILED)
Oliver    Darren (FILED)
Padilla    Vincente (FILED)
Park  Chan Ho (FILED)
Pavano    Carl (FILED)
Penny    Brad (FILED)
Percival    Troy (FILED)
Perez    Odalis
Pettitte    Andy (FILED)
Pineiro    Joel (FILED)
Ponson    Sidney
Putz    J.J. (FILED)
Rodney    Fernando (FILED)
Sanchez    Duaner
Schoeneweis    Scott (FILED)
Brian Shouse (FILED)
Smoltz    John (FILED)
Soriano    Rafael (FILED)
Springer  Russ (FILED)
Valverde    Jose (FILED)
Villone  Ron (FILED)
Vizcaino    Luis
Wagner    Billy (FILED)
Walker    Jamie
Washburn    Jarrod (FILED)
Weaver  Jeff (FILED)
Webb    Brandon
Wellemeyer    Todd (FILED)
Wolf  Randy (FILED)
Jamey Wright (FILED)
Abreu    Bobby
Anderson    Garret (FILED)
Ankiel    Rick (FILED)
Baldelli    Rocco (FILED)
Bay    Jason (FILED)
Byrd    Marlon (FILED)
Cameron    Mike (FILED)
Catalanotto    Frank (FILED)
Chavez    Endy (FILED)
Crawford    Carl
Crisp    Coco (FILED)
Damon    Johnny (FILED)
Dellucci    David
Dye    Jermaine (FILED)
Erstad    Darin (FILED)
Freel    Ryan
Giles    Brian (FILED)
Gload    Ross (FILED)
Griffey Jr.    Ken
Guerrero    Vladimir (FILED)
Holliday    Matt (FILED)
Huff    Aubrey (FILED)
Jenkins    Geoff
Johnson    Reed (FILED)
Jones    Andruw (FILED)
Kotsay  Mark
Kearns    Austin (FILED)
Matsui    Hideki (FILED)
Michaels    Jason (FILED)
Nady    Xavier (FILED)
Ordonez    Magglio
Patterson  Corey (FILED)
Podsednik  Scott (FILED)
Ramirez    Manny
Sheffield    Gary (FILED)
Stairs    Matt (FILED)
Fernando Tatis (FILED)
Winn    Randy (FILED)

Ausmus  Brad (FILED)
Paul Bako (FILED)
Bard    Josh (FILED)
Blanco    Henry (FILED)
Castro    Ramon (FILED)
Hernandez    Ramon
Kendall    Jason (FILED)
LaRue    Jason (FILED)
Martinez    Victor
Chad Moeller (FILED)
Molina    Bengie (FILED)
Molina    Jose (FILED)
Olivo    Miguel (FILED)
Redmond    Mike (FILED)
Ivan Rodriguez (FILED)
Schneider    Brian (FILED)
Torrealba    Yorvit (FILED)
Varitek    Jason
Zaun    Gregg (FILED)
Note: Some Players Listed Above Have Contract Options and will not reach Free Agency.  Other Unlisted Players will be granted Free Agency.  Bold = Signed/Stayed with Current Club
Shibe Park, Philadelphia,
Options to Keep in Mind

Cliff Lee: $9 million option with $1 million Buyout.
Victor Martinez: $7 million option with $0.25 million Buyout.
Magglio Ordonez: $18 million option with $3 million Buyout.
Vicente Padilla: $12 million option with $1.75 million Buyout.
J.J. Putz: $8.6 million option with $1 million Buyout.

Manny Ramirez: $20 million Player option.
Freddie Sanchez: $8 million option with $0.6 million Buyout.
Yorvit Torrealba: $4 million Mutual option with $500,000 Buyout.
Jason Varitek: $5 million Team option/$3 million Player option.
Josh Beckett: $12 million option with $2 million Buyout.

Rafael Betancourt: $5.4 million option.
Doug Brocail: $2.8 million option with $1.25 million Buyout.
Carl Crawford: $10 million option with $1.25 million Buyout.
Coco Crisp: $8 million option with $500,000 Buyout.
Jermaine Dye: $12 million Mutual option with $1 million Buyout.

Pedro Feliz: $5 million option with $500,000 Buyout.
Ryan Franklin: $2.75 million option with $0.25 million Buyout.
Jon Garland: $10m Mutual option with $2.5 m Team Buyout/$1 m Player Buyout.
Jason Giambi: $6.5 million option with $1.25 million Buyout.
Ross Gload: $2.6 million option.

Alex Gonzalez: $6 million Mutual option with $500,000 Buyout.
Ramon Hernandez: $8.5 million option with $1 million Buyout.
Tim Hudson: $12 million option with $1.4 million Buyout.
Akinori Iwamura: $4.25 million option with $0.25 million Buyout.
Austin Kearns: $10 million option with $1 million Buyout.

M. Kobayashi: $3.25 million option with $0.25 million Buyout.
Brandon Webb: $8.5 to $9.5 million option with $500,000 Buyout.
Jack Wilson: $8.4 million option with $600,000 Buyout.
Gregg Zaun: $2 million option with $500,000 Buyout.
TeePossible Tees, T-Shirts for Fun, for Sports, for History
Type A Free Agents
(Requiring Compensation of 1st or 2nd Round Draft Pick from signing club (if former club offered arbitration).  Former club also receives sandwich pick between 1st and 2nd Round if they lose the Type A Free Agent player.

Jason Bay, Rafael Betancount, Orlando Cabrera, Johnny Damon, Octavio Dotel, Jermaine Dye, Chone Figgins, Mike Gonzalez, John Grabow, Kevin Gregg, LaTroy Hawkins, Matt Holiday, Orlando Hudson, John Lackey, Bengie Molina, Darren Oliver, Placido Polanco, Marco Scutaro, Rafael Soriano, Miguel Tejada, Jose Valverde, Billy Wagner, Randy Wolf
Red Ruffing Pete Rose Leo Durocher Lefty Grove Ryan Howard
Note: 2009 statistics through October 6, 2009.  Option data source: Cott's Baseball Contracts.

Note: PEVA - Player Rating for Season or Career.  Age - Age reflects player age at the end of the calendar year.

Baseball Evaluation and all materials on this site are the 2009 Copyright and intellectual property of JDP ECON and their licensors.  All worldwide rights reserved. The Baseball Evaluation system was developed independently of Major League Baseball and the Major League Baseball Players Association and is not endorsed by or associated in any way with either organization.

Note: All Baseball Evaluation Stats were developed by JDP Econ & are the proprietary property of JDP ECON. All rights reserved. If Baseball Evaluation stats are used in articles, etc., please credit
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