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Stat Geek Baseball,
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Get ready for the 2011 season while knowing all about the past.

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The Best of Every Team!


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Stat Geek Baseball PRO11

More Unique Stats
and Salary Projections
Than You Can Shake a
Hickory Stick At!

Stat Geek Baseball PRO11

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Baseball Evaluation
and Salary Projections

The salary projections from are the result of over 5,000 hours of research into how baseball statistics and our PEVA player ratings correlate to payroll, and the results in the Salary Projection model are meant to mirror how baseball pays its players.  Buy the 2010 Free Agent Tracker and see just what we're talking about.

PEVA Player

 32.000 - Fantastic
(MVP/Cy Young Award Canddiate)
20.000 - Great (All League)
15.000 - Very Good (All Star Caliber)
10.000 - Good (Plus Starter)
3.500 - Average Player

Free Agent 2009-2010
Contract Analysis

November 2009 Signings
December 2009 Signings
January 2010 Signings
2009-2010 Free Agent List

Offered Arbitration
Grant Balfour (TBA)
Adrian Beltre (BOS)
Carl Crawford (TBA)
Jorge de la Rosa (COL)
Adam Dunn (WAS)
Frank Francisco (TEX)
Paul Konerko (CHA)
Cliff Lee (TEX)
Victor Martinez (BOS)
Carl Pavano (MIN)
Rafael Soriano (TBA)
Jayson Werth (PHI)

Not Offered Arbitration
Vladimir Guerrero (TEX)
Matt Guerrier (MIN)
Derek Jeter (NYA)
Bengie Molina (TEX)
Magglio Ordonez (DET)
Andy Pettite (NYA)
A.J. Pierzynski (CHA)
Manny Ramirez (CHA)
Mariano Rivera (NYA)
Dan Wheeler (TBA)

Current teams with Type A players signed by another team would receive a Mid-1st Round to
Mid-2nd Round compensation pick from the signing team, plus a sandwich pick between the 1st and 2nd Round from the league.
A team losing a Type A Free Agent to a team signing more than one Type A Free Agent may receive a lower round pick.

Offered Arbitration
Joaquin Benoit (TBA)
John Buck (TOR)
Randy Choate (TBA)
Kevin Correia (TBA)
Jesse Crain (MIN)
Octavio Dotel (COL)
Pedro Feliciano (NYN)
John Garland (SDN)
Brad Hawpe (TBA)
Aaron Heilman (ARI)
Trevor Hoffman (MIL)
Orlando Hudson (MIN)
Adam LaRoche (ARI)
Felipe Lopez (BOS)
Chad Qualls (TBA)
J.J. Putz (CHA)
Yorvit Torrealba (TBA)
Juan Uribe (SFN)
Javier Vazquez (NYA)

The current team that loses a Type B player receives compensation from the league with a sandwich pick between the 1st and 2nd rounds, but below Type A compensation picks.  The team signing that player is not required to give up draft pick compensation.
Stat Geek Baseball

Free Agent 2010-11 Contract Analysis

Below you will find contract analysis for the Free Agents who have signed for the 2011 season.  Did your team overpay, get a good deal, make a steal?  Here we compare the Salary Projection numbers of Stat Geek Baseball's salary projection system to the actual contracts given.  And if you want even more information, before or after the signings, check out Stat Geek Baseball Pro11 Current and History books, which includes Salary Projections and Career Stats for all players from the 2010 season or all players in baseball history.

Fantasy Baseball 2011 Cheatsheets Now Here in Two Versions!!

Free Agent 2011 Contracts
2010-11 Free Agents
Free Agent Spotlight
Jayson Werth
Bill Hall

February 2011 Signings
Free Agent Headline

Chad Durbin signs 1 year $800,000 contract with Toronto, including $1m in additional incentives.

SPRO Analysis

Indians get bargain in Durbin.  Durbin has been solid, if not spectacular, over the past four years, and we think deserves a deal for a better guaranteed number.  SPRO value for 2011, $1,994,000.

Free Agent Headline

Scott Podsednik
signs 1 year $1,000,000 Minor League deal contract with Toronto.

SPRO Analysis

Blue Jays get bargain in Podsednik.  Yes, Scott overplayed his hands and waited too long to sign, but he's a much better player than this.  He gives you speed and a veteran prescence, plus a pretty consistent stat line over the last couple years after a couple down ones.  SPRO projection, if he plays regularly, $4,199,000 in 2011.

Free Agent Headline

Vladimir Guerrero signs 1 year $8,000,000 contract with Baltimore.

SPRO Analysis

Orioles pay market value for Guerrero.  In fact, it's a slight bargain with SPRO projecting value at $9,054,000.  But Vlad did look old in the World Series, especially in the field.  However, he's a professional hitter and something the O's need a lot of, are professional baseball players.  Vlad is certainly one of those.

Free Agent Headline

Justin Duchscherer signs 1 year $700,000 contract, which bumps up to $1.1m if on 25 man opening day roster.  Includes incentives that could make contract reach $4.5m total.

SPRO Analysis

Orioles get bargain in Duchscherer.  It's a bargain with risk, we know, but two years ago, he had 10 wins, and last year he came back to pitch well, even though it was only 28 innings.  SPRO projection, including incentives, $2,900,000.

Free Agent Headline

Ron Belliard signs 1 year $825,000 minor league deal with New York Yankees.

SPRO Analysis

Yankees get bargain in Belliard.  Sure, last year wasn't great, but the years before show indication of providing a solid bench player, and the Yanks usually spend a whole lot of money for anything.  SPRO says $1,389,000 in 2011.

Free Agent Headline

Mark Kotsay signs 1 year $800,000 contract with Milwaukee with $450,000 incentives.

SPRO Analysis

Brewers get bargain in Kotsay.  Solid bench bat with some ability left at 35 years old.  Will likely earn some of those incentives, even though his 2010 season was down from years past.  SPRO projection, including incentives $1,625,000. @ Zazzle
Free Agent Signing Analysis
November 2010
December 2010
January 2011

2011 Player Projections
Player Predictions
Index 2011

Career Player Ratings and Salary Projections
for all Players.  Find Out What These Players are Really Worth and if your team's paid too much.

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Shibe Park, Philadelphia,     

Red Ruffing Pete Rose Leo Durocher Lefty Grove Ryan Howard
Note: 2010 statistics through November 2, 2010.  Option data source: Cott's Baseball Contracts.

Note: PEVA - Player Rating for Season or Career.  Age - Age reflects player age at the end of the calendar year.

Baseball Evaluation and all materials on this site are the 2010 Copyright and intellectual property of JDP ECON and their licensors.  All worldwide rights reserved. The Baseball Evaluation system was developed independently of Major League Baseball and the Major League Baseball Players Association and is not endorsed by or associated in any way with either organization.

Note: All Baseball Evaluation Stats were developed by JDP Econ & are the proprietary property of JDP ECON. All rights reserved. If Baseball Evaluation stats are used in articles, etc., please credit
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