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Baseball Evaluation
Team
Predictions 2011 - Standings
National League
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National League
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Wins |
Loss |
| National League East |
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| Philadelphia Phillies |
98 |
64 |
| Atlanta Braves |
88 |
74 |
| Florida Marlins |
78 |
84 |
| Washington Nationals |
76 |
86 |
| New York Mets |
76 |
86 |
| National League Central |
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| St. Louis Cardinals * |
89 |
73 |
| Milwaukee Brewers * |
89 |
73 |
| Cincinnati Reds |
86 |
76 |
| Chicago Cubs |
77 |
85 |
| Houston Astros |
70 |
92 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates |
66 |
98 |
| National League West |
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| San Francisco Giants |
92 |
70 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers |
88 |
74 |
| Colorado Rockes |
82 |
80 |
| San Diego Padres |
77 |
85 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks |
75 |
87 |
NL Central Winner - St. Louis Cardinals
Wild
Card Winner - Milwaukee Brewers |
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Note:
Team predictions based on relationship of PEVA Shuffle Index -
Preseason 2011 to wins and losses. Shuffle Index has been
adjusted to reflect injury to Adam Wainwright; see explanation below.
National League East
It's really a huge change since their World Series championship in 2008
for the Philadelphia Phillies. This team is all about pitching
with a big four in Halladay, Lee, Oswalt, and Hamels in which every one
of them could contend for the Cy Young Award. There PEVA
preseason shuffle total of 129.754 in huge. How huge you might
say? Is it best ever huge? Well, not quite, but if
they perform up to their pitching level of 2010, it would be the fifth
highest total in the history of the game. That's pretty big.
But there's been a decline, it seems, on the offensive side.
When you're missing Pat Burrell, (yes, we said Pat Burrell.
You did notice him winning another World Series in San Francisco
last year) Jason Werth, and perhaps for some of the season, Chase
Utley, it hurts. Fortunately for Philly, they might only have to
score 3 runs to win a lot of nights. There are some who think
this team could win 110 games. It could, but only if the offense
rebounds to the way it used to score runs. Right now, the stats
say 98 wins, but we wouldn't be surprised if there were more. The
Atlanta Braves are a good team and getting better all the time.
With the addition of Dan Uggla in the middle of their lineup,
along with old stars like Chipper, and new ones like Jason, we predict
a lot of wins for the Braves this year and contention for a Wild Card
slot with the likes of St. Louis, Milwaukee, and the Dodgers. Down the
Eastern Division line, the Nationals of Washington are going to be
better than people think. We wouldn't have signed Jason Werth to
that contract, but if he can perform like he did in 2010 with Ryan
Zimmerman becoming a force at 3B there and on a national stage, they
might move up the standings some. Might need that Strasberg
fellow to do more than that though. Florida is likely to edge
them out for third spot, however. They have their own youngsters
on the rise there in Mike Stanton and better pitching. And those
Mets. I guess if they get healthy players, they could get more
wins, but there seems to be a culture there that would be better off
changed. We don't think that change is now.
National League Central
Yes, we've adjusted the PEVA shuffle index to reflect the loss of Adam
Wainwright for the season to the St. Louis Cardinals. We don't
usually do this, but it seemed appropriate since his PEVA factor from
2010 was so high (he might have been the 2nd best pitcher in baseball
last year) and we know he's out for the year. And how much is
this gonna cost the Cards? We think in the range of 9 wins.
But guess what, this team is so good, they're still gonna win 89
times and edge out the Milwaukee Brewers in a one game playoff for the
title. Exciting, isn't it! But don't fret, fans of Fielder,
Braun, Wolf, and Greinke, you're still gonna make the playoffs.
But niether of these tasks is gonna be easy as the offensive
juggernaut that is the Cincinnati Reds, is bound to win more than a few
contests. And if theuir pitching holds up, we wouldn't be
surprised if the Reds took the top spot and knocked one of the other
two from the playoff round. For the Cubs, Astros, and Pirates,
this might be a long year. We do not like what the Cubs have been
doing over the last decade in constructing a team and we haven't seen
enough change yet to think they're bound to contend. We think the
Astros, or Phillies retread south, will be better than many think and
could surprise for awhile. We've always liked those past Phils
like Happ and Bourn. They're better than many think. And
oh, those Pirates. Think Royals without as much coming from the
farm.
National League West
Pitchiing, pitching, and more pitching keeps coming at you in that
beautiful ballpark on the bay and we don't see it stopping any time
soon. A repeat in the NL West by the Giants, who added some nice
pieces on the offensive side with the addition of Miguel Tejada, is in
order, although we do see the LA Dodgers making them run for their
money. Colorado has been signing their young players to long term
contracts and see this version of the Rockies as having tons of
potential. So do we. Just don't think it will be this year.
For San Diego and Arizona. Just too many losses in players
and victories to add up to contending seasons. They'll pitch well
in Padre land and hit well in Diamondback territory, but their lack of
punch on the other side of the ball will see that stacking up losses at
a higher pace than their fans would like in 2011.
|
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| Player Predictions 2011 |
PEVA
Power Ranking
Shuffle
Index 2011 |
| Fantasy
Baseball Cheatsheets |
| Fantasy
Baseball Rankings |
| Fantasy
Baseball Three Year Rolling Average Rankings |
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PEVA Shuffle 2011
Preseason Batting
Power Rankings
1. New York
Yankees
2. Cincinnati Reds
3. St. Louis Cardinals
4. Texas Rangers
5. Milwaukee Brewers
6. Detroit Tigers
7. Boston Red Sox
8. Chicago White Sox
9. Minnesota Twins
10. Atlanta Braves
11. Baltimore Orioles
12. Washington Nationals
13. San Francisco Giants
14. Los Angeles Dodgers
15. Arizona Diamondbacks
16. Tampa Bay Rays
17. Philadelphia Phillies
18. Oakland A's
19. Colorado Rockies
20. LA Angels of Anaheim
21. Toronto Blue Jays
22. New York Mets
23. Cleveland Indians
24. Chicago Cubs
25. Pittsburgh Pirates
26. San Diego Padres
27. Houston Astros
28. Seattle Mariners
29. Kansas City Royas
30. Florida Marlins |
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Baseball
Evaluation Scoreboard |
| Team |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
R |
H |
E |
| Pitchers |
0 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
- |
7 |
12 |
1 |
| Hitters |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
- |
7 |
12 |
1 |
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