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Baseball Evaluation
and Salary Projections
The salary
projections from baseballevaluation.com are the result of over 5,000
hours of research into how baseball statistics and our PEVA
player ratings correlate to payroll, and
the results in the Salary Projection model are meant to mirror how
baseball pays its players. Buy the 2010 Free Agent Tracker
and see
just what we're talking about.
PEVA
Player
Rating BOXSCORE
32.000 - Fantastic
(MVP/Cy Young Award Canddiate)
20.000 - Great (All
League)
15.000 - Very Good (All
Star Caliber)
10.000 - Good (Plus
Starter)
3.500 - Average Player
Salary Arbitration Rules
Players
eligible for salary arbitration are those with between 3.000 and 5.171
years of Major League Service time, as well as the top 17% of players
with at least 2 years of MLST and less than 3 years of MLST. Exchange
of salary arbitration figures will occur on January 18 with hearing for
those players and clubs who don't mutually agree to settle before their
hearing date will hold hearings between February 1 and 21. If a player
and club go to an arbitration hearing, the arbitrator picks either the
player or club's figure as the salary for 2010. There is no compromise at the arbitration table.
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Stat Geek Baseball
Arbitration Eligible Players 2011
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List
of 37 players in Major League Baseball who exchanged salary arbitration
figures with their current club and did not settle by January 18, 2011.
Stat Geek Baseball's
Free Agent 2011 Contract Analysis
Signings
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| Player,
Team |
Player Figure |
Club
Figure |
Stat
Geek
Baseball
SPRO Projection |
Baseball
Evaluation
Chooses |
Contract
Status |
| Jose Bautista, TOR |
$10,500,000 |
$7,600,000 |
$14,000,000 |
PLAYER |
Signed prior
6 yrs. $65m |
| Craig Breslow, OAK |
$1,550,000 |
$1,150,000 |
$1,729,000 |
PLAYER
|
Signed prior $1.4m |
| Billy Butler, KCA |
$4,300,000 |
$3,400,000 |
$3,942,000 |
PLAYER |
Signed prior
4 yrs. $30m |
| Santiago Casilla, SFN |
$1,650,000 |
$1,000,000 |
$1,568,000 |
PLAYER |
Signed prior $1.3m |
| Nelson Cruz, TEX |
$4,300,000 |
$3,050,000 |
$3,389,000 |
CLUB
|
Signed prior $3.65m |
| Johnny Cueto, CIN |
$3,900,000 |
$3,000,000 |
$2,854,000 |
CLUB |
Signed prior
4 yrs. $27m |
| R.A. Dickey, NYM |
$4,700,000 |
$3,350,000 |
$3,567,000 |
CLUB |
Signed prior
2 yrs. $7.8m |
| Frank Francisco, TEX |
$4,875,000 |
$3,500,000 |
$2,711,000 |
CLUB |
Signed prior $4m |
| Jason Frasor, TOR |
$3,725,000 |
$3,250,000 |
$2,773,000 |
CLUB |
Signed prior $3.5m
w/club option |
| Jeremy Guthrie, BAL |
$6,500,000 |
$5,000,000 |
$4,886,000 |
CLUB |
Signed prior $5.75m |
| Josh Hamilton, TEX |
$12,000,000 |
$8,700,000 |
$8,324,000 |
CLUB |
Signed prior
2 yrs. $24m |
| Jason Hammel, COL |
$3,700,000 |
$3,100,000 |
$2,465,000 |
CLUB |
Signed prior 2 yrs. $7.75m ($3m 2011) |
| Kelly Johnson, ARI |
$6,500,000 |
$4,700,000 |
$5,646,000 |
PLAYER |
Signed prior $5.85m |
| Hong-Chih Kuo, LAN |
$3,075,000 |
$2,550,000 |
$3,443,000 |
PLAYER |
Signed prior $2.725m |
| Francisco Liriano, MIN |
$5,000,000 |
$3,600,000 |
$3,563,000 |
CLUB |
Signed prior $4.3m |
| Kameron Loe, MIL |
$1,650,000 |
$1,055,000 |
$894,000 |
CLUB |
Signed prior $1.25m |
| James Loney, LAN |
$5,250,000 |
$4,700,000 |
$4,323,000 |
CLUB |
Signed prior $4.875m |
| Javier Lopez, SFN |
$2,875,000 |
$2,000,000 |
$3,091,000 |
PLAYER |
Signed prior $2.375m |
| Shawn Marcum, MIL |
$5,000,000 |
$3,000,000 |
$3,716,000 |
CLUB |
Signed prior $3.95m |
| Carlos Marmol, CHN |
$5,650,000 |
$4,100,000 |
$4,308,000 |
CLUB |
Signed prior 3 yrs. $20m ($3.2m 2011) |
| Miguel Montero, ARI |
$3,400,000 |
$2,800,000 |
$1,989,000 |
CLUB |
Signed prior $3.2m |
| Mike Napoli, LAA |
$6,100,000 |
$5,300,000 |
$4,201,000 |
CLUB |
Signed prior $5.8m |
| Darren O'Day, TEX |
$1,400,000 |
$1,050,000 |
$2,919,000 |
PLAYER |
Signed prior $1.251m |
| Russ Ohlendorf, PIT |
$2,025,000 |
$1,400,000 |
$1,271,000 |
CLUB |
PLAYER WINS |
| Angel Pagan, NYN |
$4,200,000 |
$3,082,500 |
$4,407,000 |
PLAYER |
Signed prior $3.5m |
| Jonathan Papelbon, BOS |
$13,000,000 |
$11,000,000 |
$6,033,000 |
CLUB |
Signed prior $12 m |
| Hunter Pence, HOU |
$6,900,000 |
$5,150,000 |
$6,055,000 |
PLAYER |
PLAYER WINS |
| Wandy Rodriguez, HOU |
$10,250,000 |
$8,900,000 |
$7,224,000 |
CLUB |
Signed prior
3 yrs. $34m |
| Luke Scott, BAL |
$6,850,000 |
$5,700,000 |
$5,269,000 |
CLUB |
Signed prior $6.4m |
| Kevin Slowey, MIN |
$3,100,000 |
$2,300,000 |
$1,721,000 |
CLUB |
Signed prior $2.7m |
| Ian Stewart, COL |
$2,600,000 |
$2,150,000 |
$1,671,000 |
CLUB |
Signed prior $2.22875m |
| Andres Torres, SFN |
$2,600,000 |
$1,800,000 |
$2,376,000 |
PLAYER |
Signed prior $2.2m |
| Edison Volquez, CIN |
$2,000,000 |
$1,300,000 |
$1,444,000 |
CLUB |
Signed prior $1.625m |
| Jered Weaver, LAA |
$8,800,000 |
$7,365,000 |
$8,089,000 |
PLAYER |
CLUB WINS |
| Ricky Weeks, MIL |
$7,200,000 |
$4,850,000 |
$6,517,000 |
PLAYER |
Signed prior
4 yrs. - $38.5m |
| C.J. Wilson, TEX |
$8,000,000 |
$6,100,000 |
$6,227,000 |
CLUB |
Signed prior $7m |
| Delmon Young, MIN |
$6,250,000 |
$4,650,000 |
$4,318,000 |
CLUB |
Signed prior $5.375m |
Note: SPRO Projection model chooses 13 Player figures and 24 Club figures in the 2011 arbitration exchange. In 2010, the SPRO Arbitration Model selected 11 Player Figures and 23 Club
Figures.
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List of players in Major League Baseball who were eligible for salary arbitration in 2011.
American League
Jeremy Guthrie, BAL; J.J. Hardy, BAL; Jim Johnson, BAL
Adam Jones, BAL; Felix Pie, BAL; Luke Scott, BAL
Jacoby Ellsbury, BOS; Jonathan Papelbon, BOS
John Danks, CHA; Tony Pena, CHA; Carlos Quentin, CHA
Asdrubal Cabrera, CLE; Shin-Soo Choo, CLE; Chirs Perez, CLE
Rafael Perez, CLE; Anthony Reyes, CLE; Armando Galarraga, DET
Ryan Raburn, DET; Joel Zumaya, DET
Billy Butler, KCA; Kyle Davies, KCA; Alex Gordon, KCA
Luke Hochevar, KCA; Robinson Tejeda, KCA
Erick Aybar, LAA; Alberto Callaspo, LAA; Howie Kendrick, LAA
Jeff Mathis, LAA; Kendry Morales, LAA; Mike Napoli, LAA
Jered Weaver, LAA; Reggie Willits, LAA
Matt Capps, MIN; Alexi Casilla, MIN; Francisco Lirano, MIN
Glen Perkins, MIN; Kevin Slowey, MIN; Delmon Young, MIN
Joba Chamberlain, NYA; Phil Hughes, NYA; Boone Logan, NYA
Dallas Braden, OAK; Craig Breslow, OAK; Conor Jackson, OAK
Kevin Kouzmanoff, OAK; Josh Willingham, OAK; Brad Ziegler, OAK
David Aardsma, SEA; Brandon Leauge, SEA; Jason Vargas, SEA
Josh Wilson, SEA
Matt Garza, TBA; Andy Sonnanstine, TBA; BJ Upton, TBA
Nelson Cruz, TEX; Josh Hamilton, TEX; David Murphy, TEX
Darren O'Day, TEX; CJ Wilson, TEX
Jose Bautista, TOR; Shawn Camp, TOR; Rajai Davis, TOR
Yunel Escobar, TOR; Casey Janssen, TOR; Jesse Litsch, TOR
Brandon Morrow, TOR; Carlos Villanueva, TOR
National League
Stephen Drew, ARI; Kelly Johnson, ARI; Joe Saunders, ARI
Jair Jurrjens, ATL; Peter Moyland, ATL; Eric O'Flaherty, ATL
Martin Prado, ATL; Dan Uggla, ATL
Tom Gorzelanny, CHN; Koyie Hill, CHN; Carlos Marmol, CHN
Sean Marshall, CHN; Geovany Soto, CHN
Bill Bray, CIN; Jared Burton, CIN; Johnny Cueto, CIN
Edison Volquez, CIN; Joey Votto, CIN
Matt Belisle, COL; Jason Hammel, COL; Matt Lindstrom, COL
Felipe Paulino, COL; Ian Stewart, COL
Clay Hensley, FLO; Edward Mujica, FLO; Leo Nunez, FLO
Anibal Sanchez, FLO; Taylor Tankersley, FLO
Clint Barmes, HOU; Michael Bourn, HOU; Jeff Keppinger, HOU
Hunter Pence, HOU; Wandy Rodriguez, HOU
Chad Billingsley, LAN; Hong-Chih Kuo, LAN; James Loney, LAN
Prince Fielder, MIL; Kameron Loe, MIL; Shaun Marcum, MIL
Manny Parra, MIL; Rickie Weeks, MIL
RA Dickey, NYN; Angel Pagan, NYN; Mike Pelfrey, NYN
Ben Francisco, PHI; Kyle Kendrick, PHI
Joel Hanrahan, PIT; Ross Ohlendorf, PIT
Kyle McClellan, SLN
Mike Adams, SDN; Jason Barlett, SDN; Heath Bell, SDN
Chase Headley, SDN; Ryan Ludwick, SDN; Tim Stauffer, SDN
Santiago Casilla, SFN; Javier Lopez, SFN; Ramon Ramirez, SFN
Cody Ross, SFN; Jonathan Sanchez, SFN; Andres Torres, SFN
John Lannan, WAS; Mike Morse, WAS; Doug Slaten, WAS
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| Red
Ruffing |
Pete Rose |
Leo
Durocher |
Lefty
Grove |
Ryan Howard |
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Baseball
Evaluation
and all materials on this site are the 2011 Copyright and
intellectual property of JDP ECON and their licensors. All
worldwide
rights reserved. The Baseball Evaluation system was developed
independently of Major League Baseball and the Major League Baseball
Players Association and is not endorsed by or associated in
any
way with either organization.
Note:
All Baseball Evaluation Stats were developed by JDP Econ
& are the proprietary property of JDP ECON. All
rights
reserved.
If Baseball Evaluation stats are used in articles,
etc.,
please
credit baseballevalution.com. |
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