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Includes Fantasy Cheetsheets, Player Ratings, Salary Projections, Best Ever Lists, and Player Projections for 2011

Baseball Evaluation
and Salary Projections

The salary projections from baseballevaluation.com are the result of over 5,000 hours of research into how baseball statistics and our PEVA player ratings correlate to payroll, and the results in the Salary Projection model are meant to mirror how baseball pays its players.  Buy the 2010 Free Agent Tracker and see just what we're talking about.


PEVA Player
Rating BOXSCORE


 32.000 - Fantastic
(MVP/Cy Young Award Canddiate)
20.000 - Great (All League)
15.000 - Very Good (All Star Caliber)
10.000 - Good (Plus Starter)
3.500 - Average Player

Salary Arbitration Rules

Players eligible for salary arbitration are those with between 3.000 and 5.171 years of Major League Service time, as well as the top 17% of players with at least 2 years of MLST and less than 3 years of MLST.  Exchange of salary arbitration figures will occur on January 18 with hearing for those players and clubs who don't mutually agree to settle before their hearing date will hold hearings between February 1 and 21.  If a player and club go to an arbitration hearing, the arbitrator picks either the player or club's figure as the salary for 2010.  There is no compromise at the arbitration table.


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Arbitration Eligible Players 2011

List of 37 players in Major League Baseball who exchanged salary arbitration figures with their current club and did not settle by January 18, 2011.

Stat Geek Baseball's
Free Agent 2011 Contract Analysis
Signings
Player, Team Player Figure
Club
Figure
Stat Geek
Baseball
SPRO Projection
Baseball
Evaluation
Chooses

Contract
Status
Jose Bautista, TOR $10,500,000 $7,600,000 $14,000,000 PLAYER Signed prior
6 yrs. $65m
Craig Breslow, OAK $1,550,000 $1,150,000 $1,729,000 PLAYER Signed prior $1.4m
Billy Butler, KCA $4,300,000 $3,400,000 $3,942,000 PLAYER Signed prior
4 yrs. $30m
Santiago Casilla, SFN $1,650,000 $1,000,000 $1,568,000 PLAYER Signed prior $1.3m
Nelson Cruz, TEX $4,300,000 $3,050,000 $3,389,000 CLUB
Signed prior $3.65m
Johnny Cueto, CIN $3,900,000 $3,000,000 $2,854,000 CLUB Signed prior
4 yrs. $27m
R.A. Dickey, NYM $4,700,000 $3,350,000 $3,567,000 CLUB Signed prior
2 yrs. $7.8m
Frank Francisco, TEX $4,875,000 $3,500,000 $2,711,000 CLUB Signed prior $4m
Jason Frasor, TOR $3,725,000 $3,250,000 $2,773,000 CLUB Signed prior $3.5m
w/club option
Jeremy Guthrie, BAL $6,500,000 $5,000,000 $4,886,000 CLUB Signed prior $5.75m
Josh Hamilton, TEX $12,000,000 $8,700,000 $8,324,000 CLUB Signed prior
2 yrs. $24m
Jason Hammel, COL $3,700,000 $3,100,000 $2,465,000 CLUB Signed prior 2 yrs. $7.75m ($3m 2011)
Kelly Johnson, ARI $6,500,000 $4,700,000 $5,646,000 PLAYER Signed prior $5.85m
Hong-Chih Kuo, LAN $3,075,000 $2,550,000 $3,443,000 PLAYER Signed prior $2.725m
Francisco Liriano, MIN $5,000,000 $3,600,000 $3,563,000 CLUB Signed prior $4.3m
Kameron Loe, MIL $1,650,000 $1,055,000 $894,000 CLUB Signed prior $1.25m
James Loney, LAN $5,250,000 $4,700,000 $4,323,000 CLUB Signed prior $4.875m
Javier Lopez, SFN $2,875,000 $2,000,000 $3,091,000 PLAYER Signed prior $2.375m
Shawn Marcum, MIL $5,000,000 $3,000,000 $3,716,000 CLUB Signed prior $3.95m
Carlos Marmol, CHN $5,650,000 $4,100,000 $4,308,000 CLUB Signed prior 3 yrs. $20m ($3.2m 2011)
Miguel Montero, ARI $3,400,000 $2,800,000 $1,989,000 CLUB Signed prior $3.2m
Mike Napoli, LAA $6,100,000 $5,300,000 $4,201,000 CLUB Signed prior $5.8m
Darren O'Day, TEX $1,400,000 $1,050,000 $2,919,000 PLAYER Signed prior $1.251m
Russ Ohlendorf, PIT $2,025,000 $1,400,000 $1,271,000 CLUB PLAYER WINS
Angel Pagan, NYN $4,200,000 $3,082,500 $4,407,000 PLAYER Signed prior $3.5m
Jonathan Papelbon, BOS $13,000,000 $11,000,000 $6,033,000 CLUB Signed prior $12 m
Hunter Pence, HOU $6,900,000 $5,150,000 $6,055,000 PLAYER PLAYER WINS
Wandy Rodriguez, HOU $10,250,000 $8,900,000 $7,224,000 CLUB Signed prior
3 yrs. $34m
Luke Scott, BAL $6,850,000 $5,700,000 $5,269,000 CLUB Signed prior $6.4m
Kevin Slowey, MIN $3,100,000 $2,300,000 $1,721,000 CLUB Signed prior $2.7m
Ian Stewart, COL $2,600,000 $2,150,000 $1,671,000 CLUB Signed prior $2.22875m
Andres Torres, SFN $2,600,000 $1,800,000 $2,376,000 PLAYER Signed prior $2.2m
Edison Volquez, CIN $2,000,000 $1,300,000 $1,444,000 CLUB Signed prior $1.625m
Jered Weaver, LAA $8,800,000 $7,365,000 $8,089,000 PLAYER CLUB WINS
Ricky Weeks, MIL $7,200,000 $4,850,000 $6,517,000 PLAYER Signed prior
4 yrs. - $38.5m
C.J. Wilson, TEX $8,000,000 $6,100,000 $6,227,000 CLUB Signed prior $7m
Delmon Young, MIN $6,250,000 $4,650,000 $4,318,000 CLUB Signed prior $5.375m
Note: SPRO Projection model chooses 13 Player figures and 24 Club figures in the 2011 arbitration exchange.  In 2010, the SPRO Arbitration Model selected 11 Player Figures and 23 Club Figures.
List of players in Major League Baseball who were eligible for salary arbitration in 2011.

American League
Jeremy Guthrie, BAL; J.J.  Hardy, BAL; Jim Johnson, BAL
Adam Jones, BAL; Felix Pie, BAL; Luke Scott, BAL
Jacoby Ellsbury, BOS; Jonathan Papelbon, BOS
John Danks, CHA; Tony Pena, CHA; Carlos Quentin, CHA
Asdrubal Cabrera, CLE; Shin-Soo Choo, CLE; Chirs Perez, CLE
Rafael Perez, CLE; Anthony Reyes, CLE; Armando Galarraga, DET
Ryan Raburn, DET; Joel Zumaya, DET
Billy Butler, KCA; Kyle Davies, KCA; Alex Gordon, KCA
Luke Hochevar, KCA; Robinson Tejeda, KCA
Erick Aybar, LAA; Alberto Callaspo, LAA; Howie Kendrick, LAA
Jeff Mathis, LAA; Kendry Morales, LAA; Mike Napoli, LAA
Jered Weaver, LAA; Reggie Willits, LAA
Matt Capps, MIN; Alexi Casilla, MIN; Francisco Lirano, MIN
Glen Perkins, MIN; Kevin  Slowey, MIN; Delmon Young, MIN
Joba Chamberlain, NYA; Phil Hughes, NYA; Boone Logan, NYA
Dallas Braden, OAK; Craig Breslow, OAK; Conor Jackson, OAK
Kevin Kouzmanoff, OAK; Josh Willingham, OAK; Brad Ziegler, OAK
David Aardsma, SEA; Brandon Leauge, SEA; Jason Vargas, SEA
Josh Wilson, SEA
Matt Garza, TBA; Andy Sonnanstine, TBA; BJ Upton, TBA
Nelson Cruz, TEX; Josh Hamilton, TEX; David Murphy, TEX
Darren O'Day, TEX; CJ Wilson, TEX
Jose Bautista, TOR; Shawn Camp, TOR; Rajai Davis, TOR
Yunel Escobar, TOR; Casey Janssen, TOR; Jesse Litsch, TOR
Brandon Morrow, TOR; Carlos Villanueva, TOR

National League
Stephen Drew, ARI; Kelly Johnson, ARI; Joe Saunders, ARI
Jair Jurrjens, ATL; Peter Moyland, ATL; Eric O'Flaherty, ATL
Martin Prado, ATL; Dan Uggla, ATL
Tom Gorzelanny, CHN; Koyie Hill, CHN; Carlos Marmol, CHN
Sean Marshall, CHN; Geovany Soto, CHN
Bill Bray, CIN; Jared Burton, CIN; Johnny Cueto, CIN
Edison Volquez, CIN; Joey Votto, CIN
Matt Belisle, COL; Jason Hammel, COL; Matt Lindstrom, COL
Felipe Paulino, COL; Ian Stewart, COL
Clay Hensley, FLO; Edward Mujica, FLO; Leo Nunez, FLO
Anibal Sanchez, FLO; Taylor Tankersley, FLO
Clint Barmes, HOU; Michael Bourn, HOU; Jeff Keppinger, HOU
Hunter Pence, HOU; Wandy Rodriguez, HOU
Chad Billingsley, LAN; Hong-Chih Kuo, LAN; James Loney, LAN
Prince Fielder, MIL; Kameron Loe, MIL; Shaun Marcum, MIL
Manny Parra, MIL; Rickie Weeks, MIL
RA Dickey, NYN; Angel Pagan, NYN; Mike Pelfrey, NYN
Ben Francisco, PHI; Kyle Kendrick, PHI
Joel Hanrahan, PIT; Ross Ohlendorf, PIT
Kyle McClellan, SLN
Mike Adams, SDN; Jason Barlett, SDN; Heath Bell, SDN
Chase Headley, SDN; Ryan Ludwick, SDN; Tim Stauffer, SDN
Santiago Casilla, SFN; Javier Lopez, SFN; Ramon Ramirez, SFN
Cody Ross, SFN; Jonathan Sanchez, SFN; Andres Torres, SFN
John Lannan, WAS; Mike Morse, WAS; Doug Slaten, WAS

   
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