|
|
 |
|
|
Baseball Evaluation
Team
Predictions 2010 - Standings
American League
|
|
American League
|
Wins |
Loss |
| American League East |
|
|
| New York Yankees |
107 |
55 |
| Boston Red Sox * |
93 |
69 |
| Tampa Bay Rays |
85 |
77 |
| Baltimore Orioles |
73 |
89 |
| Toronto Blue Jays |
71 |
91 |
| American League Central |
|
|
| Minnesota Twins |
95 |
67 |
| Detroit Tigers |
81 |
81 |
| Kansas City Royals |
77 |
85 |
| Chicago White Sox |
72 |
90 |
| Cleveland Indians |
64 |
98 |
| American League West |
|
|
| Seattle Mariners |
85 |
77 |
| Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim |
84 |
78 |
| Oakland A's |
73 |
89 |
| Texas Rangers |
72 |
90 |
|
|
|
| Wild
Card Winner - Boston Red Sox |
|
|
Note:
Team predictions based on relationship of PEVA Shuffle Index -
Preseason 2010 to wins and losses.
American League East
They essentially traded Hideki Matsui and Johnny Damon for Curtis
Granderson, Nick Johnson, and Randy Winn, then added an All-Star level
pitcher in Javier Vazquez. Oh, no, the Yankees are probably
better in 2010, at least on paper, than in 2009, and they won the World
Series then. This Yankee team has the chance to run away with the
division and win close to 110 games. Probably the only way they
don't win 100 is due to injury or disinterest, because this squad is
that good. A pitching rotation of Sabathia, A.J. Burnett,
Vazquez, Pettite, and whomever. A lineup that can bat Nick
Swisher ninth if they want. Add in the fantastic Mariano Rivera
in the bullpen, even at his advancing age, and you have the seminal
team of the junior circuit. There are a couple other really good
teams in this division in the Red Sox and Rays, but they are
significantly behind the Yankee prowess to start the season.
Boston did a good job of retooling the offense by adding Marco
Scutaro to play shortstop and Mike Cameron to take over for Jason Bay
in the outfield. That's a decline in production for Cameron, but
not by as much as you'd think. Add in Victor Martinez for a full
season to catch, play some first, or DH, and you've got the makings of
a squad that can be playoff bound again. It's odd, but in some
way the Rays are taking steps backwards, particularly if their young
pitching does not start to be as good as folks think. However, as
much as David Price can be a key to pushing Boston and New York for a
playoff spot, it's the offense that should propel Tampa Bay into
contention. Whether this is the last year in the bay for Carl
Crawford or not, when he, Evan Longoria, B.J. Upton, and Ben Zobrist
swing the bats, it gives the Rays a chance to win almost every day.
Down in Baltimore land, the birds seem to be moving in the right
direction with young outfielders Nick Markakis and Adam Jones leading
the way, but there's too big a gap between them and the three atop this
division to think contention is merely a word in the dictionary.
Bringing in an old warhorse pitcher in Kevin Millwood might help
one day out of five, but it just won't be enough to give the faithful
in Camden Yards more than pleasure during individual games. Up
north, Toronto is having a fire sale and counting on young talent
several years from now. They'll be on the bottom of the division
for several years, it seems, even though many think they have the young
pitching to contend a couple seasons from now.
American League Central
We think the Minnesota Twins are so good that the loss of stellar
closer Joe Nathan will only be a bump in the road. It will be a
significant bump (if Nathan's production is not replaced, which we
think it will be either in house or not. His value is worth about 7
wins.), but the Twins are head and shoulders above the pack in the
American League Central to us, based on pitching depth and an offense
that is only beat in the American League by those East powerhouses New
York and Boston. Joe Mauer and his $184 million contract, plus
Justin Morneau, Denard Span, Michael Cuddyer, and more could run and
hide here, although the closer question will at least give those below
them, particularly the Detroit Tigers, an outside chance to surprise.
Detroit is counting on its young pitching, led by Justin
Verlander and Rick Porcello, to bring an aging offense into the fore.
There's enough offense to contend here, starting with the young
leader Cabrera, but what happens here is as much a referendum of how
much Johnny Damon and Magglio Ordonez have left in the tank as anything
else. There's good things happening in Kansas City with Cy Young
winner Zach Grienke and young hitters like Billy Butler, but it's just
too soon to see more than a movement into the middle of the pack there.
We're not too enamored with what the Chicago White Sox have done
in the offseason, but they are a squad who, at least every other year,
pulls off a surprise. Call that the Ozzie factor, I guess.
As for Cleveland. How do you lose your bearing this far and
fast that only two years ago you had a team that looked like they were
young enough and good enough to contend for years, to one that has lost
almost all of its stars to other teams and could have trouble not
losing 100 games. Grady Sizemore must think he's been left behind
enemy lines and is waiting for reinforcements to come.
American League West
The Seattle Mariners have done a fantastic job in the offseason by
retooling an offense that needed a new direction and weapons and a
pitching staff that needed another great pitcher. In comes Chone
Figgins to get the offense on the go go, and Cliff Lee to help Felix
Hernandez lead the way on the mound. Folks, it looks to us like
the Mariners got a great deal in getting Lee, even if for only one
year, because it could be the year the Mariners hold off the Angels to
win the division. Despite it's losses, the Angels will still be
in contention here, essentially replacing John Lackey with Joel Pineiro
in their pitching rotation, and counting on youngsters, plus a Matsui,
to overcome the loss of Vlad and Chone. We don't think they've
done enough to stay ahead of the Mariners, however, but it will be
close. I know some people think the A's have made good moves
during Hot Stove time and we think so, too. Just too young to
make a season long push. For Texas, we just don't like this team,
outside of the Kinsler and Young led infield. They'll probably win more
games than we think, but what we do think is that their success of the
last couple years had a lot of mirage in there somewhere. We
think this year the mirage may fade into the Texas sun.
|
 |
| Player Predictions 2010 |
PEVA
Power Ranking
Shuffle
Index 2010 |
| Fantasy
Baseball Cheatsheets |
| Fantasy
Baseball Single Season Rankings |
| Fantasy
Baseball Three Year Rolling Average Rankings |
|
|
|
|
PEVA Shuffle 2010
Preseason Pitching Power Rankings
1. New York Yankees
2. San Francisco Giants
3. St. Louis Cardinals
4. Milwaukee Brewers
5. Seattle Mariners
6. Philadelphia Phillies
7. Detroit Tigers
8. Minnesota Twins
9. Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim
10. Los Angeles Dodgers
11. Boston Red Sox
12. Colorado Rockies
13. Kansas City Royals
14. Arizona Diamondbacks
15. Tampa Bay Rays
16. Chicago Cubs
17. Atlanta Braves
18. Cincinnati Reds
19. Oakland A's
20. Texas Rangers
21. San Diego Padres
22. Florida Marlins
23. Chicago White Sox
24. Houston Astros
25. Washington Nationals
26. Baltimore Orioles
27. Pittsburgh Pirates
28. Toronto Blue Jays
29. New York Mets
30. Cleveland Indians |
|
 |
|
Baseball
Evaluation Scoreboard |
| Team |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
R |
H |
E |
| Pitchers |
0 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
- |
7 |
12 |
1 |
| Hitters |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
- |
7 |
12 |
1 |
|
|
Check out the BE
Sitemap
for More Stuff, including
Best Ever Lists by Team
By Pitchers, Position Players and More |
Comments
We'd
like to hear from you with your comments or questions.
Send your questions or comments about what you like or don't like about
Stat Geek Baseball and Baseballevaluation.com to
contactREMOVE@baseballevaluation.com.
Please remove the REMOVE when contacting us.
How many Nigerians robobots are out there?
|
PEVA
Player Grade
BOXSCORE |
32.000 - Fantastic
(Cy Young, MVP Candidate) |
| 20.000
- Great |
| 15.000
- All Star Caliber |
| 10.000
- Good |
| 3.500 - Average |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Custom Search
|
 |
Baseball
Evaluation and all materials on this site are the 2009 Copyright and
intellectual property of JDP ECON and their licensors. All
worldwide rights reserved. The Baseball Evaluation system was
developed independently of Major League Baseball and the Major League
Baseball Players Association and is not endorsed by or associated in
any way with either organization.
Note:
All Baseball Evaluation Stats were developed by JDP Econ & are
the
proprietary property of JDP ECON. All rights reserved. If Baseball
Evaluation stats are used in articles, etc., please credit
baseballevalution.com. |
|
|