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Baseball Evaluation
Team
Predictions 2010 - Standings
National League
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National
League
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Wins |
Loss |
| National League East |
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| Phladelphia
Phillies |
95 |
67 |
| Atlanta
Braves |
79 |
83 |
| New
York Mets |
77 |
85 |
| Washington
Nationals |
77 |
85 |
| Florida
Marlins |
77 |
85 |
| National League Central |
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| St.
Louis Cardinals |
98 |
64 |
| Milwaukee
Brewers * |
91 |
71 |
| Chicago Cubs |
76 |
86 |
| Houston
Astros |
75 |
87 |
| Cincinnati
Reds |
75 |
87 |
| Pittsburgh
Pirates |
65 |
97 |
| National League West |
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| San Francisco Giants * |
87 |
75 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers |
87 |
75 |
| Colorado
Rockies |
84 |
78 |
| San
Diego Padres |
78 |
84 |
| Arizona
Diamondbacks |
77 |
85 |
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NL West Winner - San Francisco Giants.
Wild
Card Winner - Milwaukee Brewers |
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Note:
Team predictions based on relationship of PEVA Shuffle Index -
Preseason 2009 to wins and losses.
National League East
It will come as no surprise that the Philadelphia Phillies have a great
chance of repeating again as division champions. The surprise
will come in that we don't think the division will be close.
There's been some thought surrounding baseball that the Atlanta
Braves will contend this year and push the Phillies through September.
However, we believe that won't happen unless the Phillies do it
to themselves. Now that's possible, particularly given the
bullpen situation at Citizens Bank Park, but we think that there's too
much thunder in that lineup with Rollins, Polanco, Utley, Howard,
Werth, Ibanez, Victorino, and Ruiz, plus a stud on the mound now in
Halladay, to have that occur all season long. The Braves, to us,
are a young upcoming team, but it won't be this season that it all
comes together. Now if all that young talent comes of age at
once, would we be surprised? Yes, but it's possible. The
rest of the division has a lot of weakness and question marks and it
seems a jumble to us just who the number three team is. There's
still a lot of potential in the bats of Queens, particularly now with
the addition of Jason Bay to the lineup, and it's doubtful they'll see
the amount of injuries come again like last year. We just don't
think there's enough pitching here to contend. As for the
Marlins, they overachieve every year to us. Probably should
expect them to do it again, but we just don't. We do think the
Nationals are bound not to be the laughing stock of the league.
That might come from the bottom of the Central Division.
National League Central
The Cardinals may have lost one of their three stud pitchers from last
year in Joel Pineiro, but there are two left in Chris Carpenter and
Adam Wainwright, plus they have their own Holiday now for the
entire season. With a cohort for Albert Pujols, the Cards are the
favorite to win the division and challenge the Phillies for best record
in the league. Milwaukee will give them a run for their money
though with an offense led by Prince Fielder and Brad Hawpe, plus young
pitching boosted by veterans like Randy Wolf and Doug Davis. We
think they have
wild card winner written all over them. Below them, we just don't
see contenders. The Cubs should be better than they are, but we
think the combination of low OBP batters, even at the top of their
lineup, just doesn't allow them to
prosper as the season lengthens. For Houston, they've got an
interesting and improving mix with a mercurial player like Michael
Bourn at the top of the lineup and Lance Berkman and Carlos Lee to
knock him in. He's a player the Cubs could use. If they can
find an additional starter or two beyond Roy Oswalt and Wandy
Rodriguez, they could win more games than we think. For the
Reds, young pitching could keep them into contention through the
All-Star break, but we don't think there's enough offense to push them
deeper into the season. Pittsburgh. Some day you have to
decide that keeping your players and trying to contend is an option to
getting additional attendance and having the money to keep your
players. Catch 22, now isn't it.
That wonderful ballpark deserves a wonderful team some day.
National League West
There are three teams here that could win the division and they all
have many great qualities, just not all on the same team. San
Francisco may have the best starting staff in the majors past the
Yankees led by two time Cy Young Award winner Tim Lincecum and Matt
Cain, plus a closer in Brian Wilson that
deserves more credit than he gets. And while the Giants have made
inroads into having a better offense sans the Bonds era, and it should
be better again this year, it's a far cry from that pitching staff,
with really only one plus starter in Pablo Sandoval.
For the Dodgers, they keep trying to make the transition to
younger players while staying in contention, and for the most part,
they've succeeded. Now with Manny likely in his last year there,
it is time for the Kemp's and Ethier's of the world, plus a Kershaw on
the mound, to take charge. In those two young players, plus
Russell Martin and older player Casey Blake, they had four plus 10.000
PEVA players in 2010, without Manny. They will win a lot of games
in 2010, too, but may lose out to the
Giants at the end of a very close day. We have them losing a
playoff game after tying for the division lead. Colorado may have
something to say about that, with better pitching than many perceive
(four pitchers with at least 10 wins last year)
and a retooled offense no longer dependent on the long ball. They
depend on a humidor now. For San Diego, there's a warning.
You may need a better owner. You do need to start keeping
your good players. Unfortunately, fans of the Padres will likely
be watching
their latest great one, Adrian Gonzalez, swatting big flies in another
uniform before the end of the year.
|
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| Player Predictions 2010 |
PEVA
Power Ranking
Shuffle
Index 2010 |
| Fantasy
Baseball Cheatsheets |
| Fantasy
Baseball Single Season Rankings |
| Fantasy
Baseball Three Year Rolling Average Rankings |
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PEVA Shuffle 2010
Preseason Pitching Power Rankings
1. New York Yankees
2. San Francisco Giants
3. St. Louis Cardinals
4. Milwaukee Brewers
5. Seattle Mariners
6. Philadelphia Phillies
7. Detroit Tigers
8. Minnesota Twins
9. Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim
10. Los Angeles Dodgers
11. Boston Red Sox
12. Colorado Rockies
13. Kansas City Royals
14. Arizona Diamondbacks
15. Tampa Bay Rays
16. Chicago Cubs
17. Atlanta Braves
18. Cincinnati Reds
19. Oakland A's
20. Texas Rangers
21. San Diego Padres
22. Florida Marlins
23. Chicago White Sox
24. Houston Astros
25. Washington Nationals
26. Baltimore Orioles
27. Pittsburgh Pirates
28. Toronto Blue Jays
29. New York Mets
30. Cleveland Indians |
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