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Baseball Evaluation
Player
Predictions 2010 - Most Valuable Player Race
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Stat
Geek Baseball Predictions 2010
Cy Young Award Predictions 2010
Our Predictions - As of 10-3-2010
NATIONAL LEAGUE
Who we think should win - Albert Pujols
Who we think will win - Joey Votto
AMERICAN LEAGUE
Who we think should win - Miguel Cabrera
Who we think will win - Miguel Cabrera
TOP FIVE PEVA PERFORMERS IN 2010
1. Albert Pujols, STL 35.225
2. Miguel Cabrera, DET 32.676
3. Jose Bautista, TOR 31.582
4. Joey Votto, CIN 30.658
5. Adrian Gonzalez, SDN 27.181
Top 40 Batters
Our Preseason Predictions
MVP Race
| Projections 2010 |
HR |
RBI |
Ave. |
PEVA Pro |
| National League |
|
|
|
|
| 1. Prince Fielder, MIL |
47 |
155 |
.288 |
40.166 |
| 2. Adrian Gonzalez, SDN |
41 |
106 |
.277 |
35.936 |
| 3. Albert Pujols, SLN |
46 |
132 |
.335 |
35.442 |
| 4. Ryan Brawn, MIL |
36 |
127 |
.322 |
33.099 |
| 5. Hanley Ramirez, FLA |
28 |
118 |
.344 |
30.648 |
| 6. Ryan Howard, PHI |
46 |
141 |
.278 |
23.639 |
| 7. Ryan Zimmerman, WAS |
34 |
116 |
.282 |
22.654 |
| 8. Matt Kemp, LAN |
27 |
111 |
.302 |
22.649 |
| 9. Andre Ethier, LAN |
32 |
111 |
.283 |
22.630 |
| 10. Jason Werth, PHI |
35 |
96 |
.275 |
22.008 |
|
|
|
|
|
| American League |
|
|
|
|
| 1. Joe Mauer, MIN |
31 |
107 |
.367 |
34.772 |
| 2. Mark Teixeira, NYA |
38 |
119 |
.309 |
24.532 |
| 3. Evan Longoria, TBA |
36 |
121 |
.283 |
24.493 |
| 4. Chin-Shoo Choo, CLE
|
20 |
90 |
.300 |
22.031 |
| 5. Derek Jeter, NYA
|
20 |
68 |
.340 |
21.470 |
| 6. Adam Lind, TOR |
39 |
127 |
.307 |
20.807 |
| 7. Nick Markakis, BAL |
20 |
113 |
.299 |
18.884 |
| 8. Kevin Youkalis, BOS |
26 |
98 |
.304 |
18.546 |
| 9. Ben Zobrist, TBA |
29 |
97 |
.316 |
18.507 |
| 10. Aaron Hill, TOR |
37 |
113 |
.279 |
18.222 |
Note:
Peva Pro predictions for 2010 based on relationship of PEVA 2009,
3 Year RAVE Progression, AgeTrack Progression, and other factors.
Peva Pro projections do not take into account injury status.
Most Valuable Player Race - National League
Let's
start off with how we did last year. We were wrong. We
picked David Wright with Albert Pujols second. Albert won the
MVP. Not too bad, especially considering we picked Joe Mauer
for MVP in the American League and he won. And when we say
picked, we should say the PEVA projection system picked. It's
mathematic or sabermetric or just numbers projected forward. And
for this season, the numbers say that Prince Fielder will take the
crown with a stellar season that just builds on the great campaign of
2009. We think he'll knock out 47 HR, 155 RBI, and bat 0.288, all
tallying up to a PEVA best of 40.166. But he will have company in
the chase for MVP, not the least of which is Padre for now Adrian
Gonzazlez. By the end of the season, Adrian will probably wear
another uniform, but a move out of the Grand Canyon of parks in San
Diego will only help this chase. At number three in our
predictions is that darn Albert. He's in this conversation every
year and that should come as no surprise. With Matt Holiday on
board for an entire season, it should make Pujol's job that much easier
and could be the key to back to back MVP campaigns. As we go down
the list, there are the usual suspects, including the Phillies masher
Ryan Howard and the five tool player in Florida, Hanley Ramirez.
But there are those on the come, including teammates Andre Ethier
and Matt Kemp in Los Angeles plus Ryan Zimmerman of the Nationals.
It would be hard to believe a National winning the MVP Award this
year, but don't be surprised if Ryan puts up numbers that deserve to be
in the conversation.
1. Prince Fielder, 1B, MIL - Hard to believe he only be 26 years old
at the end of 2010, because this son of a slugger is starting to put up
numbers where he deserves mention as one of the best of the age.
Now, Prince is not going to win Mr. Universe with his frame and
some say he better get these accolades early because he won't get them
late, but that has nothing at all to do with now. For now, Prince
Fielder is our selection as the likely MVP in the National League.
2. Adrian Gonzalez, 1B, SDN - He won't be calling Petco Park home
for long, at least that's what most think, but what Adrian has been
doing over the last several years in a park only pitcher's could truly
love is amazing. If he wasn't relegated to Padre land and west
coast game times too late for East Coast sleepers, there would be even
more clamor to get him to a big market team. But just think what
numbers he'd be putting up in a park like Fenway or Wrigley. Soon
we may see.
3. Albert Pujols, 1B, SLN - It's perennial. It's a right of
spring and summer and fall. Albert's at the plate and a hit, home
run, or RBI will ensue. An average year by Albert gets him into
the MVP conversation. There's so many of these years that we're
already talking about the Hall of Fame.
Best
of the Rest - Sleeper. It would be hard for Ryan Braun to surpass
Prince Fielder in this race, but not that hard. Braun has been
putting up some great numbers in his first few years in the bigs, and
some year, maybe this year, it's going to culminate in an MVP Award.
Considering the fact that Milwaukee could contend for a playoff
spot, it's likely going to be a race between he and his teammate for
consideration. We think it will be Fielder, but this would come
as no surprise.
Most Valuable Player Race - American League
There
are $184 million reasons to think Joe Mauer will have a good season in
his new Target Ballpark. But the others matter more. The
facts that he, as a catcher, has led the league in hitting three
times for one. Now there's more than one horse in this race,
particularly if the Twins succumb to the loss of a closer and less wins
than most predict. That would bring a couple Yankees back into the
conversation in even greater measure, i.e. Mr. Teixeira and Mr. Jeter.
And if the Rays can have a repeat of 2008 and contend for a
playoff spot, there's an Evan that might just plop in and win the thing
as well. We think a few new guys will garner some attention.
In Cleveland, there won't be that much to cheer for, but
Chin-Shoo Choo is llikely to be one of the few bright spots of the
year. And one of these years you're going to see Nick Markakis
put up pretty fine numbers and join the converation for the Baltimore
Orioles.
1.
Joe Mauer, C, MIN - He won the award last year and has done nothing to
make people think he can't do it again. Add the fact that he's
about bound to add bigger power numbers just due to maturity, and you
could be seeing one of the best catchers ever to play the game with
multiple MVP Awards to his credit. Wouldn't it be just amazing if
a catcher flirted with hitting .400. If one ever does, it might
just be this Joe.
2. Mark Teixeira, 1B, NYA -
With the skill of the lineup surrounding him, there's a roll out of bed
and knock in 110 aspect to Mark's upcoming seasons. And
considering that Teixeira is not just a masher, but a Gold Glove type
fielder, and there's more than a few who think it will be his year to
win the MVP. And if the Yankees win over 100 games like many
think, including us, this could be the season it happens.
3. Evan Longoria, 3B, TBA - Monster numbers have been predicted for
Longoria since his minor league days. They are starting to come true.
And we're predicting some nice ones in 36 HR and 121 RBI in 2010.
That should be enough to get him into the MVP chatter.
Best of the Rest - Sleeper. Well, we actually think the
sleeper is not on this list, but a good deal of that depends on whether
his team does well, the Detroit Tigers, and whether he cares more,
because there's no doubt about the talent. But we wouldn't be
shocked if Miguel Cabrera had an even better breakout year than he's
had in the past. And that would put him not only in Top Ten territory
(he's just outside it now), but in the talk for MVP status.
|
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PEVA 2010
Players
by Team
Team Power Rankings
Top 40 Pitchers
Top 40 Batters
Fielding Ratings 2010
|
| PRESEASON 2010 |
| Player Predictions 2010 |
| Team
Predictions 2010 - NL |
| Team
Predictions 2010 - AL |
PEVA
Power Ranking
Shuffle
Index 2010 |
| Fantasy
Baseball Cheatsheets |
| Fantasy
Baseball Rankings |
| Fantasy
Baseball RAVE Rankings |
|
PEVA
Player Grade
BOXSCORE |
32.000 - Fantastic
(Cy Young, MVP Candidate) |
| 20.000
- Great |
| 15.000
- All Star Caliber |
| 10.000
- Good |
| 3.500 - Average |
|
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PEVA Shuffle 2009
Preseason Batting
Power Rankings
1. Philadelphia
Phillies
2. New York Yankees
3. Los Angeles Dodgers
4. New York Mets
5. St. Louis Cardinals
6. Atlanta Braves
7. Chicago Cubs
8. Boston Red Sox
9. Minnesota Twins
10. Baltimore Orioles
11. Oakland A's
12. Tampa Bay Rays
13. Milwaukee Brewers
14. Houston Astros
15. Cleveland Indians
16. Texas Rangers
17. Detroit Tigers
18. San Diego Padres
19. Florida Marlins
20. Washington Nationals
21. Kansas City Royals
22. Toronto Blue Jays
23. Seattle Mariners
24. Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim
25. Chicago White Sox
26. San Francisco Giants
27. Pittsburgh Pirates
28. Arizona Diamondbacks
29. Colorado Rockies
30. Cincinnati Reds |
PEVA Shuffle 2009
Preseason Pitching
Power Rankings
1. Boston Red Sox
2. New York Yankees
3. New York Mets
4. Toronto Blue Jays
5. Arizona Diamondbacks
6. Cleveland Indians
7. Philadelphia Phillies
8. Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim
9. Tampa Bay Rays
10. Chicago Cubs
11. San Francisco Giants
12. Chicago White Sox
13. Atlanta Braves
14. Kansas City Royals
15. Los Angeles Dodgers
16. Cincinnati Reds
17. Colorado Rockies
18. Houston Astros
19. Minnesota Twins
20. St. Louis Cardinals
21. Oakland A's
22. Milwaukee Brewers
23. Pittsburgh Pirates
24. Detroit Tigers
25. Washington Nationals
26. Seattle Mariners
27. Florida Marlins
28. San Diego Padres
29. Baltimore Orioles
30. Texas Rangers |
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