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Baseball Evaluation
Team
Predictions 2009 - Standings |
Stat
Geek Baseball Predictions 2009
American League Predictions 2009
National
League
|
Wins |
Loss |
| National League East |
|
|
| New
York Mets |
96 |
66 |
| Phladelphia
Phillies |
95 |
67 |
| Atlanta
Braves |
87 |
75 |
| Washington
Nationals |
72 |
90 |
| Florida
Marlins |
71 |
91 |
| National League Central |
|
|
| Chicago
Cubs |
91 |
71 |
| St.
Louis Cardinals |
81 |
81 |
| Houston
Astroes |
80 |
82 |
| Milwaukee
Brewers |
75 |
87 |
| Cincinnati
Reds |
72 |
90 |
| Pittsburgh
Pirates |
69 |
93 |
| National League West |
|
|
| Los
Angeles Dodgers |
87 |
75 |
| Arizona
Diamondbacks |
84 |
78 |
| San
Francisco Giants |
81 |
81 |
| Colorado
Rockies |
72 |
90 |
| San
Diego Padres |
70 |
92 |
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|
|
| Wild
Card Winner - Philadelphia Phillies |
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Note:
Team predictions based on relationship of PEVA Shuffle Index -
Preseason 2009 to wins and losses.
National League East
The most powerful divisions in baseball are in the east.
There
would come as few surprises to say that two of the four playoff teams
in the National League will come from the National League East division
in 2009, as both the New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies have made
themselves prohibitive favorites to battle for the top of the division
standings this year. How tough will this be for the two top teams?
Pretty darn tough, as the Braves will provide a nice little
test
in the middle of the division as well. But let's look at the
two
top teams going in. Philadelphia. As the reigning
World
Series Champs, the Phils went into the off-season with one basic move
to make and that's what they did when they effectively traded Free
Agent
leftfielders. Now we like Pat Burrell alot folks, so there's
no
bashing coming from here, but for 2009, the addition of Raul Ibanez
will provide a similar punch to the lineup behind Ryan Howard and allow
the Phils to score a good amount of runs. In fact, the Phils
stand at the top of the PEVA Shuffle Power Rankings for Position
Players at 106.732, led by Howard, Utley, Ibanez, and Victorino.
With four players above a 10 PEVA Player Rating in 2008 (and
then
there's that little player called Jimmy Rollins in there, too), this
club will score runs and play good defense. And four of those
five players are in the prime of their career, too. New York
Mets. At #4 in the Position Player Power Rankings, 103.266
PEVA,
the Mets have four players above the 10 PEVA level as well, with two in
David Wright and Carlos Beltran above 20. What puts the Mets
just
below Philadelphia on offense is a lack of depth below that.
While Philadelphia has Jimmy Rollins and Jason Werth, the
Mets
have Brian Schneider and Ryan Church. Edge Philadelphia on
offense. But slight edge going into the season for the Mets
on
the pitching staff. With the best shuffle staff in National
League baseball going into the season,
the additions of bullpen aces Francisco Rodriguez and J.J. Putz, plus
those of Tim Redding and Sean Green allow the 103.039 PEVA
pitching rating to outshine Philadelphia by the slightest margin.
There's concern about injuries in New York, as well as the
intangibles on this squad, but between the two, you could be looking at
a race down to the final day of the year, 95 wins or more for each, and
a playoff berth for both. We're not as bullish on the Florida
Marlins as some. There's going to be one year that having no
experience and really young players blows up in your face.
This
might be the year for that, and we wouldn't be surprised if the
Nationals make a play for fourth place in the East with Adam Dunn
leading a much-improved offense into play each day of the season in
Washington.
National League Central
There's no denying the fact that the Chicago Cubs are the prohibitive
favorite in this division, although that may come from facts of the
weak compatriots below them as much as it does from the Cubbies
themselves. Now, not that it's not an impressive bunch.
Their pitching staff sets up nicely with the rotation of
Dempster, Lilly, Zambrano, and Hardin, and if Hardin can have another
injury free year, it could be pretty good. We're a bit
concerned
about the bullpen, but with either Marmol or Gregg taking the reigns in
the back end, they should be okay. Most people love this
offense;
we do not. While players such as Soto, Ramirez, and Derrick
Lee
provide a consistency to the squad, having a mercurial leadoff hitter
with a poor OBP in Soriano and counting on a nut like Milton Bradley
could blow up in their face. Still should be enough to win
the
division, with the Cardinals and Astroes pulling in behind them, but we
wouldn't be too certain about the margin in the end. The
biggest
drop in this division will likely make the most waves. In
Milwaukee, the playoff squad from 2008 has lost its two lead wheels,
and without a Sabathia or Sheets heading the staff, even the potential
power of their offense won't be enough to help that sinking feeling for
the Brewers in the standings.
National League West
Manny has signed! Manny has signed! And we hate to
admit
this, but it is the most significant statement for a division looking
for an identity. Now this won't be the National League
Central
with one top team and no contenders. We actually think the
San
Francisco Giants have made great strides with the additions of Randy
Johnson, Jeremy Affeldt, Bobby Howry, and Justin Miller to the pitching
staff that was already well topped by Lincecum and Cain. But
they
needed more than the addition of Edgar Renteria to the offense to climb
enough above 0.500 to compete for the division title. For the
Arizona Diamondbacks, that's just where they will be, competing to the
end with the Los Angeles Dodgers due to their emerging stars and a
pitching rotation headed by Brandon Webb and Dan Haren, probably the
best one two punch in the game most folks don't know enough about.
While the Dodgers may have too much offense, if Manny is
Manny,
to overcome in the end, watch the Diamondbacks give them a tussle
through the final week of the season. We're not sold on the
Dodgers being able to absorb their pitching losses of innings eater
Derrick Lowe and handing that mantle to all those good young guys, but
it could be just enough to win this division, but not by much.
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Baseball
Evaluation Scoreboard |
| Team |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
R |
H |
E |
| Pitchers |
0 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
- |
7 |
12 |
1 |
| Hitters |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
- |
7 |
12 |
1 |
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|
PEVA
Player Grade
BOXSCORE |
32.000 - Fantastic
(Cy Young, MVP Candidate) |
| 20.000
- Great |
| 15.000
- All Star Caliber |
| 10.000
- Good |
| 3.500 - Average |
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