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Stat
Geek Baseball,
the Best Ever Book
Publication
Date: 11/10/2013
UPDATED THRU
THE 2013
POSTSEASON
The
Best Yankee!
The Best Red Sox!
The Best of Every Team!
Paperback
Details
Kindle/Computer
Edition
Great
gift for the baseball
fan in your life.
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Baseball Evaluation
and Salary Projections
The salary
projections from baseballevaluation.com are the result of over 5,000
hours of research into how baseball statistics and our PEVA
player ratings correlate to payroll, and
the results in the Salary Projection model are meant to mirror how
baseball pays its players.
PEVA
Player
Rating BOXSCORE
32.000 - Fantastic
(MVP/Cy Young Award Canddiate)
20.000 - Great (All
League)
15.000 - Very Good (All
Star Caliber)
10.000 - Good (Plus
Starter)
3.500 - Average Player
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Stat Geek Baseball
Hot
Stove League Analysis
Qualifying Offers 2013-2014
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It's
that time of year. The season and World Series are done and
your
teams area looking for way to make them better and compete for the
playoffs next year. And there are questions aplenty.
What
free agents have been offered the new $14.1m qualifying offer that
could
garner them compensatory draft picks if they leave? Who is
arbitration eligible and are you willing to go to arbitration with that
player or cut him free? What are your favorite players worth
anyway?
Below the staff at baseballevaluation.com and Stat Geek
Baseball
will attempt to keep you up to date with the current transactions, as
well as give our opnion, and the Stat Geek Baseball Salary Projection's
opinion of what dollars and cents should have been paid to the signed
player. Hope the Hot Stove of your favorite team works out
well.
Happy stoving!
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The Hot Stove League
Qualifying Offers
Who Should Accept, What They Should Get,
Will They Get More or Less
Find
out what's going on in contract negotiations, what they've been paid,
what they should have with the Stat Geek Baseball's SPRO Salary
Projection system, and more.
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Qualifying
Offers of $14.1m for a one year contracts have been extended to 13 free
agents. If rejected and signed by another team, their former
teams will receive an end of the first round draft pick with the
signing team losing either a first or second round pick. This
year's players given the Qualifying Offers are: Carlos Beltran (SLN),
Robinson Cano (NYA), Hiroki Kuroda (NYA), Curtis Granderson (NYA),
Shin-Shoo Choo (CIN), Nelson Cruz (TEX), Stephen Drew (BOS), Jacoby
Ellsbury (BOS), Mike Napoli (BOS), Ervin Santana (KCA), Brian McCann
(ATL), Kendrys Morales (SEA), and Ubaldo Jimenez (CLE). All Free
Agents offered the Qualifying Offer have rejected the offers and are
free to negotiate with all teams, including their own.
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Week of November 4,
2013
Free Agent Players Given
Qualifying Offers ($14.1m) - Page 1
Ubaldo Jimenez
Should He Accept: NO
Has He Accepted: NO
SPRO One Year Projection: $13,740,000
SPRO Contract Offer: 3 years - $42,680,000.
SPRO Pre Contract Analysis - After
his rebound year in 2013, Jimenez should strike now in free agency.
Much of his value still reaches back to his great season several
years back; another year or two forward without reaching that
status would hurt him. SPRO is probably about right for his
offers, but he could get an extra year.
Hiroki Kuroda
Should He Accept: NO
Has He Accepted: NO
SPRO One Year Projection: $14,797,000
SPRO Contract Offer: 3 years - $45,963,000.
SPRO Pre Contract Analysis - Kuroda
waned a bit coming down the stretch, but had a good season overall.
Somebody will give him a multi-year deal, even though he's the
oldest of the pitchers.
Brian McCann
Should He Accept: NO
Has He Accepted: NO
SPRO One Year Projection: $7,791,000
SPRO Contract Offer: 3 years - $22,647,000.
SPRO Pre Contract Analysis - When
we say he shouldn't accept it, it's not because we think McCann is
worth north of that number. He's had two down years in a row, but
will still command significant offers on the free agent market as the
best catcher available. Probably 4 years $50m. Not worth that
much to us, without him proving that those two years were not a trend.
Kendrys Morales
Should He Accept: NO
Has He Accepted: NO
SPRO One Year Projection: $7,539,000
SPRO Contract Offer: 3 years - $23,418,000.
SPRO Pre Contract Analysis - Morales
is not worth the QO, but he's going to get a deal higher than SPRO.
Probably in the range of 3 years and $36-42m. We're not
convinced that Morales should command that much, but he probably will.
Mike Napoli
Should He Accept: NO
Has He Accepted: NO
SPRO One Year Projection: $9,571,000
SPRO Contract Offer: 3 years - $29,730,000.
SPRO Pre Contract Analysis - Napoli
had a significant deal pulled out, because of those injury concerns
last year. We think Boston offers one at about the same value, 3
years $39m.
Ervin Santana
Should He Accept: NO
Has He Accepted: NO
SPRO One Year Projection: $10,049,000
SPRO Contract Offer: 4 years - $42,646,000.
SPRO Pre Contract Analysis - While
we think the SPRO numbers are fair for Santana's services, he's going
to get between $12m to $15m per year on the open market. It's
said he wants a 5 year contract worth $100 million. We'd let
someone else pay that.
Page 1 Page 2
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FREE
AGENT CHANGES
As of 2012,
there
were no longer Type A, B, and C free agents to figure out who gives up
what when signed a free agent. Only those that have been
offered
the Qualifying Offer of $14.1m or not. For those players
signed
by another club, the signing club will lose a pick from #11 to their
second round pick. The former club gets a
compensatory pick
afer the first round in reverse order of the MLB standings.
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| Red
Ruffing |
Pete Rose |
Leo
Durocher |
Lefty
Grove |
Ryan Howard |
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Note: PEVA
- Player Rating for Season or Career. Age - Age
reflects player age at the end of the calendar year.
Baseball
Evaluation
and all materials on this site are the 2012 Copyright and
intellectual property of JDP ECON and their licensors. All
worldwide
rights reserved. The Baseball Evaluation system was developed
independently of Major League Baseball and the Major League Baseball
Players Association and is not endorsed by or associated in
any
way with either organization.
Note:
All Baseball Evaluation Stats were developed by JDP Econ
& are the proprietary property of JDP ECON. All
rights
reserved.
If Baseball Evaluation stats are used in articles,
etc.,
please
credit baseballevalution.com. |
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