
The newest book in the Stat Geek Baseball universe. Fields of Gold, Baseball's Best Glove Work.
It's what the Best Ever Book was for hitting and pitching, but now a
detailed look at the Best Fielders in Baseball History, including best
position players for every team, and best overall for every position.
Ebook
Paperback
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Stat
Geek Baseball,
the Best Ever Book
Publication
Date: 11/10/2012
The
Best Yankee!
The Best Red Sox!
The Best of Every Team!
Kindle/Computer
Edition
Great
gift for the baseball
fan in your life.
Paperback
Details
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Baseball Evaluation
and Salary Projections
The salary
projections from baseballevaluation.com are the result of over 5,000
hours of research into how baseball statistics and our PEVA
player ratings correlate to payroll, and
the results in the Salary Projection model are meant to mirror how
baseball pays its players.
PEVA
Player
Rating BOXSCORE
32.000 - Fantastic
(MVP/Cy Young Award Canddiate)
20.000 - Great (All
League)
15.000 - Very Good (All
Star Caliber)
10.000 - Good (Plus
Starter)
3.500 - Average Player
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Stat Geek Baseball
Hot
Stove League 2014-2015
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It's
that time of year. The season and World Series are done and
your
teams area looking for way to make them better and compete for the
playoffs next year. Hope the Hot Stove of your favorite team works out
well.
Happy stoving!
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The
Hot Stove League
Free Agents, Options, and Player Signings
Find
out what's going on in contract negotiations, what they've been paid,
what they should have with the Stat Geek Baseball's SPRO Salary
Projection system, and more.
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Week of December 29
Free Agents Asdrubal Cabrera signs 1 year $8,000,000 contract with Rays.
SPRO Analysis - Tampa Bay pays market value for Cabrera. SPRO $7,616,000.
Re-signed with Club Cliff Pennington signs 1 year $3,275,000 contract with Diamondbacks.
SPRO Analysis - Arizona
overpays for Pennington. Whoa! Here's one key to an
overpay. For four straight years Pennington has played in less
games and you're paying a pro-rated starter's salary, based on last
year's plate appearances of over $11m. Now does anyone think
Pennington, if a starter, is worth $11m. He's not. SPRO
$1,493,000.
Week of December 22
Free Agents A.J. Pierzynski signs
1 year $2,000,000 contract with Braves.
SPRO Analysis - Atlanta
gets bargain in Pierzynski. Sure, Pierzynski's offense is
sliding, but if he's going to get starter's minutes, pending Gattis in
leftfield, than this is a bargain for a starting catcher.
SPRO $6,231,000.
Jason Grilli signs
2 year $8,000,000 contract with Braves, with $3m option for 3rd year.
SPRO Analysis - Atlanta pays market value for Grilli. SPRO 2 years $7,249,000.
Tim Stauffer signs
1 year $2,200,000 contract with Twins.
SPRO Analysis - Minnesota overpays for Stauffer. Been four years since Stauffer was stellar. SPRO says $1,476,000.
Dave Ross signs
2 year $5,000,000 contract with Cubs.
SPRO Analysis - Chicago
Cubs overpay for Ross. Four straight years Ross has declined in 3
year rolling PEVA. We know he can catch, but ... he's just not
worth this. SPRO $874,000.
Re-signed with Club Delmon Young signs 1 year $2,250,000 contract with Orioles.
SPRO Analysis - Baltimore gets bargain in Young. SPRO $3,065,000.
Jordan Walden signs
2 year $6,600,000 contract, avoiding arbitration, with Cardinals. Contract includes $5.25m option for 3rd year.
SPRO Analysis - St.
Louis overpays for Walden. We know there's a 12% premium pushing
salaries higher, but for a 2nd year arbitration player with good, but
modest credentials, we think this is high. SPRO 1 year $1,399,000.
We'd have waited till next year for a longer term deal if he pitched
well.
Week of December 15
Free Agents Corey Hart signs
1 year $2,500,000 contract with Pirates, including $2.5m incentives.
SPRO Analysis - Pittsburgh overpays for Hart. Salary's okay, but the incentives really weren't necessary. SPRO $2,025,000.
Chris Medlen signs
2 year $8,500,000 contract with Royals, including $10m incentives and $10m option w/$1m buyout.
SPRO Analysis - Kansas
City gets bargain in Medlen. KC has minimized the risks on a
pitcher who was injured last year, but really good the two years
before. SPRO 2 years $11,960,000.
Jake Peavy signs
2 year $24,000,000 contract plus incentives with Giants.
SPRO Analysis - San
Francisco overpays for Peavy. SPRO 2 years $18,476,000.
He's a player with one very good year out of five or so, so this
is a bit high considering that. Might do okay in SF park.
Edison Volquez signs
2 year $20,000,000 contract, plus $10m mutual option for 3rd year w/$3m buyout, with Royals.
SPRO Analysis - Kansas City pays market value for Volquez. SPRO 2 years $18,476,000 and okay with a third year at those numbers.
Gavin Floyd signs
1 year $4,000,000 contract plus $6m incentives with Indians.
SPRO Analysis - Cleveland
overpays for Floyd. This borders on nuts. Floyd's 3 year rolling
average of PEVA values has decreased for years, from 9.871 in 2009 to
9.850 to 7.525 to 6.612 to 3.311 to 2.185 after 2014. That's
serious downturn and not for one year. SPRO $1,967,000.
Brett Anderson signs
1 year $4,000,000 contract plus incentives with Dodgers.
SPRO Analysis - Los
Angeles Dodgers overpay for Anderson. It's been a good long while
since Anderson was that type of money good, but he is still young, and
at one time, was that good. SPRO $1,996,000.
Michael Morse signs
2 year $8,000,000 contract plus incentives with Marlins.
SPRO Analysis - Miami gets bargain in Morse. SPRO 2 years $11,370,000.
Chris Capuano signs
1 year $5,000,000 contract with Yankees.
SPRO Analysis - New York Yankees overpay for Capuano. SPRO $3,346,000.
Brandon Morrow signs
1 year $2,500,000 contract plus $5m incentives (starter) or $1m incentives (reliever) with Padres.
SPRO Analysis - San
Diego pays market value for Morrow. Although they didn't really
have to add in those incentives for us. SPRO $2,159,000.
Alex Rios signs
1 year $11,000,000 contract with Royals.
SPRO Analysis - Kansas City
overpays for Rios. He's on the downside for a couple years. SPRO $8,200,000.
Daniel Descalso signs
2 year $3,600,000 contract with Rockies and $500,000 incentives per year.
SPRO Analysis - Colorado
pays market value for Descalso. We would have gone year to year,
but 2 is okay at these numbers. SPRO for year 1 $1,227,000.
Re-signed with Club Phil Hughes signs
3 year $42,000,000 contract extension (2017-2019) with Twins. Full contract now 5 years $58,000,000.
SPRO Analysis - Minnesota
pays market value for Hughes. We wouldn't have gotten into that
5th year, but the numbers are right there. SPRO 4 years
$45,949,000.
Craig Breslow signs
1 year $2,000,000 contract with Red Sox.
SPRO Analysis - Boston
gets bargain in Breslow. Breslow had a very poor year in 2014
after two very good ones. They've bought low; smart move.
SPRO $3,327,000.
Sergio Romo signs
2 year $15,000,000 contract plus $1m incentives with Giants.
SPRO Analysis - San
Francisco pays market value for Romo. It's a little above, but
not far, and there's concern that Romo's been on the down for two
straight years. SPRO 2 years $13,156,000.
David Hernandez signs
1 year $2,000,000 contract with Diamondbacks, avoiding arbitration.
SPRO Analysis - Arizona
pays market value for Hernandez. These are tough ones with a
player who misses the whole year. SPRO $1,746,000.
Week of December 8
Free Agents Chase Headley signs
3 year $52,000,000 contract with Yankees.
SPRO Analysis - New York Yankees pay market value for Headley. SPRO 3 years $58,153,000.
Jason Motte signs
1 year $4,500,000 contract with Cubs.
SPRO Analysis - Chicago
Cubs get bargain in Motte. That seems odd to say for a pitcher who only
pitched 25 innings over the last two years. SPRO 1 year
$5,578,000.
Jed Lowrie signs
3 year $23,000,000 contract with Astros.
SPRO Analysis - Houston pays market value for Cabrera. SPRO 3 years $22,362,000.
Melky Cabrera signs
3 year $42,000,000 contract with White Sox.
SPRO Analysis - Chicago
White Sox pay market value for Cabrera. We wouldn't have gone quite
that high on a per year basis, but were okay with a 4 year deal, so
this is fine. SPRO 3 year $37,100,000. 4 year $50,189,000.
Kyuji Fujikawa signs
1 year $1,000,000 contract with Rangers, plus incentives.
SPRO Analysis - Texas
overpays for Fujikawa. I know, you have to pay this for a 34 year
old, but geez, he's pitched 25 IP in two years since he's been here, so
he's really not much better than a AAAA option. SPRO $521,000.
Ervin Santana signs
4 year $55,000,000 contract with Twins, including $14m conditional option.
SPRO Analysis - Minnesota overpays for Santana. SPRO 3 year $28,170,000.
Justin Masterson signs
1 year $9,500,000 contract with Red Sox, plus incentives.
SPRO Analysis - Boston overpays for Masterson. Slightly. SPRO $8,256,000.
Kendrys Morales signs
2 year $17,000,000 contract with Royals, including $11m option w/$2m buyout. Also includes $750,000 incentives per year
SPRO Analysis - Kansas
City overpays for Morales. Just why you'd give out a multi year
contract at these numbers for a 0.218 hitter, we don't know. SPRO
2 years $11,335,000. Guess they really want those 8 HR and 42
RBI's (401 Plate Appearances).
John Mayberry, Jr. signs
1 year $1,450,000 contract with Mets.
SPRO Analysis - New
York Mets pay market value for Mayberry. We know it's not a direct
comparison since Mayberry is still in the ARB years of his career, but
he hit 7 HR with 23 RBI in 168 Plate Appearances vs. Morales above.
And he can play the field. This is not a play for giving
John M. more money, but a tale as to why Morales shouldn't get it
either. SPRO $1,742,000.
Brandon McCarthy signs
4 year $48,000,000 contract with Dodgers.
SPRO Analysis - Los
Angeles Dodgers overpay for McCarthy. There's not one year of his
career that McCarthy was worth $12m per, but they're paying him for
four. And with the exception of last year, he doesn't give you
innings. Not worth it. SPRO 2 year $11,565,000.
Alberto Callaspo signs
1 year $3,000,000 contract with Braves, including $1m incentives.
SPRO Analysis - Atlanta
gets bargain in Callaspo. Actually right near the money with the
incentives, but they've got a deal where they don't have to pay them
unless good conditions are met. SPRO $4,403,000.
Jon Lester signs
6 year $155,000,000 contract with Cubs, including vesting option at $15m for additional year.
SPRO Analysis - Chicago
Cubs overpay for Lester. Very good pitcher, not worth this type of money. SPRO 5 years $83,616,000.
Luke Gregerson signs
3 year $18,500,000 contract with Astros, plus $2.5m incentives.
SPRO Analysis - Houston pays market value for Gregerson. SPRO 3 years $18,868,000.
David Robertson signs
4 year $46,000,000 contract with White Sox.
SPRO Analysis - Chicago
White Sox overpay for Robertson. Guess we're where the Yankees
were, thinking that paying big time closer money for a one year closer
is too large a risk. SPRO 3 year $20,471,000.
Jason Hammel signs
2 year $18,000,000 contract with Cubs, including $10m option w/$2m buyout.
SPRO Analysis - Chicago
Cubs overpay for Hammel. He's back, but the cost is too high.
Last year Hammel was fine, but not great, and the two years
before that, he didn't give you lots of innings. It's like
getting Kyle Kendrick but with less durability. SPRO 2 years
$11,746,000.
Re-signed with Club Bryce Harper signs
2 year $7,500,000 contract with Nationals.
SPRO Analysis - Washington pays market value for Harper. SPRO 2 years $6,935,000.
Francisco Liriano signs
3 year $39,000,000 contract with Pirates.
SPRO Analysis - Pittsburgh
overpays for Liriano. Liriano misses starts, forcing your AAA
pitcher into 6+ starts per season. SPRO 3 years $21,945,000.
Week of December 1
Free Agents Andrew Miller signs
4 year $36,000,000 contract with Yankees.
SPRO Analysis - New
York Yankees overpay for Miller. Andrew's been very good and
getting better each year over the last three years, but never in the
closer's role. Big risk here to get away from David Robertson's
demands, which were too high. But they may have overpaid here.
SPRO 2 years $11,066,000.
Nick Markakis signs
4 year $45,000,000 contract with Braves.
SPRO Analysis - Atlanta pays
market value for Markakis. Consistent player that should add what
he's being paid, unlike their last big signs in the Upton brothers.
SPRO 4 year $46,801,000.
Jim Johnson signs
1 year $1,600,000 contract with Braves, plus $900,000 incentives.
SPRO Analysis - Atlanta
gets bargain in Johnson. Terrible year last year after a couple
really good ones, but he's not going into Atlanta in the same role with
Kimbrel there anyway. SPRO (old role) $6,718,000.
Torii Hunter signs
1 year $10,500,000 contract with Twins.
SPRO Analysis - Minnesota pays market value for Hunter. He's going home at the right price. SPRO $10,655,000.
Nelson Cruz signs
4 year $57,000,000 contract with Mariners, Mariners, with $1m signing bonus.
SPRO Analysis - Seattle
pays market value for Cruz. Might be a lot tougher hitting those
bombs in Seattle, but they've paid him what he's worth. SPRO 4
years $58,219,000.
Re-signed with Club Colby Lewis signs
1 year $4,000,000 contract with Rangers.
SPRO Analysis - Texas pays market value for Lewis. SPRO $3,672,000.
Juston Smoak signs
1 year $1,000,000 contract with Blue Jays.
SPRO Analysis - Toronto gets bargain in Smoak. SPRO $1,732,000.
Esmil Rogers signs
1 year $750,000 contract with Yankees, avoiding arbitration. Deal includes $730,000 incentives.
SPRO Analysis - New York Yankees pay market value for Rogers. SPRO, including incentives, $1,089,000.
Ike Davis signs
1 year $3,800,000 contract with A's, avoiding arbitration.
SPRO Analysis - Oakland gets bargain in Davis. Small bargain. SPRO $4,209,000.
Fernando Rodriguez signs
1 year $635,000 contract with A's, avoiding arbitration.
SPRO Analysis - Oakland pays market value for Rodriguez. SPRO 1 year $690,000.
Luke Hochever signs
2 year $10,000,000 contract with Royals.
SPRO Analysis - Kansas
City overpays for Hochever. Hochever was hurt in 2014 and did not
pitch and would be worth the money if he returns to health, but...
SPRO 2 years $6,353,000.
Darwin Barney signs
1 year $2,525,000 contract with Dodgers, avoiding arbitration.
SPRO Analysis - Los Angeles Dodgers overpay for Barney. Not a good year in 2014, SPRO lower at $1,860,000.
Brandon Kintzler signs
1 year $1,075,000 contract with Brewers, avoiding arbitration.
SPRO Analysis - Milwaukee pays market value for Kintzler. SPRO $1,262,000.
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See the Arbitration
Checklist
for information on players who filed and exchanged figures in the
arbitration hearing process, plus those that signed prior to their
hearing.
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FREE
AGENT CHANGES
There
are no longer Type A, B, and C free agents to figure out who gives up
what when signed a free agent. Only those that have been
offered
the Qualifying Offer of $14.1m or not. For those players
signed
by another club, the signing club will lose a pick from #11 to their
second round pick. The former club gets a
compensatory pick
afer the first round in reverse order of the MLB standings.
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| Qualifying Offers Extended |
Qualifying
Offers of $14.1m for a one year contracts have been extended to 13 free
agents. If rejected and signed by another team, their former
teams will receive an end of the first round draft pick with the
signing team losing either a first or second round pick. This
year's players given the Qualifying Offers are: Carlos Beltran (SLN),
Robinson Cano (NYA), Hiroki Kuroda (NYA), Curtis Granderson (NYA),
Shin-Shoo Choo (CIN), Nelson Cruz (TEX), Stephen Drew (BOS), Jacoby
Ellsbury (BOS), Mike Napoli (BOS), Ervin Santana (KCA), Brian McCann
(ATL), Kendrys Morales (SEA), and Ubaldo Jimenez (CLE).
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| Red
Ruffing |
Pete Rose |
Leo
Durocher |
Lefty
Grove |
Ryan Howard |
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Note: PEVA
- Player Rating for Season or Career. Age - Age
reflects player age at the end of the calendar year.
Baseball
Evaluation
and all materials on this site are the 2014 Copyright and
intellectual property of JDP ECON and their licensors. All
worldwide
rights reserved. The Baseball Evaluation system was developed
independently of Major League Baseball and the Major League Baseball
Players Association and is not endorsed by or associated in
any
way with either organization.
Note:
All Baseball Evaluation Stats were developed by JDP Econ
& are the proprietary property of JDP ECON. All
rights
reserved.
If Baseball Evaluation stats are used in articles,
etc.,
please
credit baseballevalution.com. |
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